Statistics 21, Fall 2012 LECTURE SCHEDULE and SUMMARIES Shobhana Stoyanov
Week 1
(8/23):
Reading: Chapters 1, 2
Course overview, discussion of syllabus
Ideas from chapters 1, 2 (Experiments vs Studies,
Types of variables, Simpson's paradox)
Examples: Salk field trial, UC Berkeley graduate admissions,
Green revolution, Lentils and vaccines
Week 2
(8/28, 8/30):
Reading: Chapters 3, 4
Histograms (ch. 3)
Measures of center, spread, and position (ch. 4)
Example: VaR
Week 3
(9/4, 9/6):
Quiz in section on Wed., chapters 3, 4
Reading: Chapters 5, 8, 9
Normal curve (ch. 5)
Correlation (ch. 8, 9)
Week 4
(9/11, 9/13):
Reading: Chapters 9, 10, 11
Correlation and Regression (ch. 9, 10)
Regression (ch. 10,11)
Week 5
(9/18, 9/20):
Quiz in section on Wed., chapters 5, 8, 9
Reading: Chapters 11, 12, notes
R.M.S. error for regression (ch. 11), the regression line (ch. 12)
Prediction, R-square
Week 6
(9/25, 9/27):
Reading: Chapters 13, 14, 15
Probability (ch. 13, 14)
Independence and the Binomial formula (ch. 15)
Counting, permutations, combinations
Week 7
(10/2, 10/4):
Midterm 1
in class on Tuesday, October 2 - chapters 1-5, 8-12
Reading: Chapter 16
Chance processes
Law of averages, box models, sum of draws
Week 8
(10/9, 10/11):
Reading: Chapters 17, 18
EV, SE for sum, normal curve (ch. 17)
Careful normal approximation for probability histograms (ch. 18)
Week 9
(10/16, 10/18):
Quiz in section on Wed., chapters 13, 14, 15
Reading: Chapters 19, 20
Sampling (ch. 19)
Chance errors in sampling (ch. 20)
Week 10
(10/23, 10/25):
Reading: Chapters 21, 23
Confidence intervals for percents, averages (ch. 21, 23)
Week 11
(10/30, 11/1):
20 minute guest lecture on 11/1, details TBA
Reading: Chapter 22
Interpreting confidence intervals (ch. 21, 23)
Measuring employment and unemployment (ch. 22)
Week 12
(11/6, 11/8):
Midterm 2
in class on Tuesday, November 6: chapters 13-23
Reading: Chapter 24
A model for measurement error
Week 13
(11/13, 11/15):
Reading: Chapters 26, 27
Tests of significance, null and alternative hypotheses (ch. 26)
Small sample
t
-test (ch. 27)
SE for difference, 2 sample
z
-test (ch. 27)
Week 14
(11/20, 11/22):
Reading
: Chapters 28
Chi-squared test for goodness of fit, and independence (ch. 28)
No class Thursday 11/22 - Happy Thanksgiving!
Week 15
(11/27, 11/29):
Quiz in section on Wed., chapters 26, 27, 28
Reading: Chapter 29
Closer look at significance tests (ch. 29)
Review, finish up
Week 16:
RRR week
Week 17:
FINAL EXAM
Tuesday, 12/11, 3-6 pm, room TBA
Last modified: Wed Aug 22 13:57:20 PDT 2012