Stat 134 Section 001: Probability, Fall 2006


Catalog Description:

An introduction to probability, emphasizing concepts and applications. Conditional expectation, independence, laws of large numbers. Discrete and continuous random variables. Central limit theorem. Selected topics such as the Poisson process, Markov chains, characteristic functions.

Classes: Tu and Thu, 2-3:30 at 277 CORY. 

Prerequisites: One year of calculus.

 

Textbook: Probability, by Jim Pitman, Springer-Verlag

Students are strongly encouraged to read the text. It includes many examples and extra exercises which augment the concepts being discussed.

 

Instructor: Elchanan Mossel (mossel@stat dot berkeley dot edu)
Office hours:  Wed  1:30-2:30 pm  &  Thu  7-8 pm  at  the Student Learning Center

(There will be no office hours Thu, Dec 7; Additional Office Hours: Fri, Dec 8,12-14, SLC.   Sat, Dec 9, 10-12, Evans 004)

GSI: Jing Lei Email: s134b@stat.berkeley.edu

Office hours: Mon 1-3 (387 Evans) Wed 1-3 (307 Evans)

(There will be no GSI office hours on Wed, Dec 6.  Additional Office hours will be held Dec 11, Mon, 1-3, at 387 Evans.)

If you have any questions about your HW grade please contact the GSI. 

You can pick up your HW at the GSI office hours. 

Study Groups Meetings at Student Learning Center: Mon & Wed 3-4 (starting Sep 11) - leader: Prateek Bhakta.

Students are strongly encouraged to attend the group meetings at the Learning Center. Other services at the center, including drop-in-tutoring and exam reviews are also recommended.

 

Homework: No late homework will be accepted.

Homework solutions will be posted in a glass case on the third floor of Evans Hall. You can pick up your HW at the GSI office hours. 

Homework are due at the beginning of the class on the due date.

 

Class study groups: In the first week of class the students will be asked to form study groups of 2-4 students. The groups will meet to review the material and discuss homework assignments. Each student is responsible to write, submit and understand her/his own homework assignment. Each homework set will include harder problems -- for these problem each study group should submit only one set of solutions. 

Warning:  You should be aware that copying solutions, in whole or in part, from other
students in the class or any other source without acknowledgment constitutes cheating.  Any student found to be cheating risks
automatically failing the class, and being referred to the Office of Student Conduct.

Midterm: Thu, 12 Oct 2006 , 14:00-15:30, Chapters 1-3.

Final: Wed 13  Dec  2006,  12:30-15:30,  Chapter 1-6.  The exam will be held at 277 Cory. 

No make up Final/Midterm will be given.
No one may take the Midterm/Final exam early.


Grading: maximum of (20% homework, 30% midterm, 50% final) and (20% homework 80% final).

Home Work assignments: All homeworks are from Pitman's book in Cahpter.Section[Problems]  (Page) fromat. 

Sep 7  : Individual: 1.1[8] (10) 1.2[4] (18)  1.3[9] (31) 1.4[6] (46) 1.5[4,7] (53-54) 1.6[6,7] (71) 

             Group      :                                      1.3[15,16] (32)            1.5[8] (55)  

Sep 14: Individual: 2.1[4,6,10] (91) 2.2[1,8,9] (108-109)                                                              

             Group      : 2.1[12] (92)       2.2[17] (110)

Sep 21: Individual: 2.4[3,8,9] (121-122) 2.5[4,8] (128)                                                                 

             Group      :                                  2.5[6,12] (128-129)

Sep 28: Individual: 2.Review[16] (134)      3.1[4,8] (158-159)                                                           

             Group      : 2.Review[26,28] (135) 3.1[14,24] (160-161)

Oct   5: Individual: 3.2[14,16] (183)        3.3[8,14] (202-203)                                                              

             Group      : 3.2[11,22] (182,184) 3.3[21,28] (204,206)

Oct 12: Individual: 3.4[10,12,14] (219) 3.5[2,10] (234)                                                                                   

             Group      : 3.4[18,19] (220)      3.5[18]    (236)  

Oct 19: Individual: 3.Rev[7]   (251)       4.1[2,6]     (275-276)

             Group      : 3.Rev[21] (253)       4.1[12,14] (276-277)

Oct 26 :Individual: 4.2[4,6]      (293)        4.4[5,9]   (309-310)    

             Group     :  4.2[8,9,17] (294-295) 4.4[6,8]   (310)

Nov   2: Individual: 4.5[2,4]      (323)                                       

             Group     :  4.5[7,9]      (323-324) 4.6[5] (331)            

Nov   9: Individual: 5.1[4,5] (345) 5.2[7,8,10,12,14,16] (354-355)     (323)            

             Group     :    5.1[6,9] (345) 5.2[20]                      (356)                             

Nov  21: Individual: 5.3[4] (367)   5.4[11]  (384)          6.1[6,8]     (399-400)    6.2[2,4]

             Group     :     5.3[12] (369) 5.4[15] (384-385)                                         6.2[6,12]

Nov  30: Individual:6.3[5,9]  (426-427) 6.4[8,10] (445,447)        6.5[6]  (462) 

             Group     :    6.3[10(a,b)] (427)   6.4[20,22]    (447)  

Dec     7: Individual: Practice Exam
           

                 

 

Midterm Review problems and info

Final: Review problems and info

You can find some old examples from Prof. Pitman's course here.

No office hours will be held on Thu, Dec 7.

Additional Office Hours: Fri, Dec 8,12-14, SLC.   Sat, Dec 9, 10-12, Evans 004.

Lecture Notes: Following Pitman's book in "Date/Section" format. 

For best view in PowerPoint, you may want to install TexPoint. The HTML is better viewed in IE. 

Aug 29/1.1-1.3:    PPT HTML PDF     Aug 31/1.4-1.5:     PPT HTML PDF 

Sep 5/1.6:             PPT HTML PDF     Sep 7/2.1:             PPT HTML PDF 

Sep 12/2.2:           PPT HTML PDF     Sep 14/2.4:           PPT HTML PDF 

Sep 19/2.5:           PPT HTML PDF     Sep 21/3.1:           PPT HTML PDF 

Sep 26/3.2:           PPT HTML PDF     Sep 28/3.3:           PPT HTML PDF 

Oct 3  /3.4:           PPT HTML PDF     Oct 5  /3.5:           PPT HTML PDF 

Oct 17/4.1:           PPT HTML PDF     Oct 19/4.2:           PPT HTML PDF 

Oct 24/4.4:           PPT HTML PDF     Oct 26/4.5:           PPT HTML PDF

Nov 31 /5.1:          PPT HTML PDF     Nov 2  /5.2:           PPT HTML PDF

Nov 7  / 5.3:         PPT HTML PDF     Nov 9/ 5.4:          PPT HTML PDF 

Nov 14 /6.1-6.2:   PPT HTML PDF     Nov 16/ 6.3:          PPT HTML PDF 

Nov 21/6.4:          PPT HTML PDF     Nov 28/6.5:          PPT HTML PDF

Other links:    Glossary of statistical terms.

                        Probability Web Applets by Susan Holems.

                        Normal Table and Applet


Department of Statistics

Elchanan Mossel's homepage