Statistics 153 - Some TENTATIVE Details - Spring 2015

There is also a bCourses site that will be used for communicating.

Course website: www.stat.berkeley.edu/~brill/Stat153/index2015.html

INTRODUCTION TO TIMESERIES

Classes: TT 3:30-5:00 in 101 Moffitt

Lab sections TBA

The course.The concern will be with the stochastic modelling of data collected as a function of time. The emphasis will be on the practice and interpretation of the techniques.

Topics covered will include: univariate and bivariate, stationary and nonstationary processes in the time domain, autoregressive-moving average models, other time series models, the frequency domain.

Syllabus

The statistical package R will be introduced, in the lab, and employed throughout.

Prerequisites: Required Stat 134 , calculus, linear algebra.

The course grade

Based on the homeworks, the midterm, the proposal, and the final Paper specifically:

the larger of {Paper grade} and {.5*Paper+.3*Midterm+.15*Homework+.05*Proposal}

Discussion sessions

Each session there will have a homework/lab assignment. The solution is due the following week. The assignments will be made in the session.

The midterm

The midterm will be ? in class time. It will last 50 minutes. The midterm will have a similar format to last year's. It will cover the material up through a Chapter to be announced. There will be review in both the class ? and discussion sessions.

Lastyear's midterm: TB posted

Details re the proposal

Your proposal for the course Paper will be due ? in class.

Notes re the Paper Proposal

The Paper

The Paper will constitute the FINAL EXAM for the course.It is due by 2:00 Monday MAY 11 or sooner. Slide under my office door or leave at 367 Evans.

Details of the Paper

In particular the number of pages in the Paper is to be 8 or fewer. The Paper is to contain both a time-side AND a frequency-side analysis of a bivariate or univariate time series. d) Start with "The scientific question motivating my work is . .. e) End with "The answer to my question is ..

Some previous Papers

The text

J D Cryer and K-S Chan (2008). Time Series Analysis: With Applications in R, Second Edition. Springer

It may be purchased for $24.95, free shipping, via Springer page

http://www.springerlink.com/content/w88341/#section=203548&page=1

It is also available electronically there

Website for the text: www.stat.uiowa.edu/~kchan/TSA.htm

Instructor: David R. Brillinger DRB Office Hours: TBA

GSI:TBA

GSI Office Hours:TBA

1/19/2015

brill@stat.Berkeley.EDU