An unusually-coupled simple random walk

Update (June 2021)

This type of model has been studied in depth in the 2021 preprint Mixing of the Averaging process and its discrete dual on finite-dimensional geometries by Matteo Quattropani and Federico Sau.

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For motivation see section 3.3 of A lecture on the averaging process.

Consider continuous-time simple symmetric random walk on the integers; that is, transition rates \(q(i,i+1) = q(i,i-1) = 1/2\). Now let \( (X_1(t), X_2(t)), 0 \le t < \infty) \) be two such processes coupled as follows.
(i) From a state \( (i,j) \) with \( |j - i| \ge 2 \) they move independently.
(ii) From a state \( (i,i+1) \) they make each of the following moves at rate \( 1/2 \): \[ (i,i+1) \to (i-1,i+1); \quad (i,i+1) \to (i,i+2) \] and they make each of the following moves at rate \( 1/4 \): \[ (i,i+1) \to (i+1,i+1); \quad (i,i+1) \to (i,i); \quad (i,i+1) \to (i+1,i). \]
(ii) From a state \( (i,i) \) they make each of the following moves at rate \( 1/4 \): \[ (i,i) \to (i,i+1); \quad (i,i) \to (i+1,i+1); \quad (i,i) \to (i+1,i) \] \[ (i,i) \to (i,i-1); \quad (i,i) \to (i-1,i-1); \quad(i,i) \to (i-1,i) \]

Intuitively, the two component processes are "independent to first order". From duality results in the paper above we know \( \mathbb{P}(X_1(t) = i, X_2(t) = i) \ge (\mathbb{P}(X_1(t) = i))^2 \) and the problem is to find the order of magnitude of the "second order" quantity \[ v(t) := \sum_i ( \mathbb{P}(X_1(t) = i, X_2(t) = i) - (\mathbb{P}(X_1(t) = i))^2 ) \] as \(t \to \infty\) .