% last updated 9 January 2012, P.B. Stark, www.stat.berkeley.edu/~stark @STRING{amjepi="Amer. J. Epidem."} @STRING{jama="J. Amer. Med. Assoc."} @STRING{pageoph="Pure Appl. Geoph."} @STRING{annreveps="Ann. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci."} @STRING{annstat="Ann. Stat."} @string{annmathstat="Ann. Math. Stat."} @STRING{annprob="Ann. Prob."} @STRING{appstat="Appl. Stat."} @STRING{apj = "Ap. J."} @STRING{apjlett = "Ap. J. Lett."} @STRING{bssa="Bull. Seis. Soc. Am."} @STRING{bstj="Bell Sys. Tech. J."} @STRING{census="{U.S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration, Bureau of the Census}"} @STRING{commerce="U.S. Department of Commerce"} @STRING{cup="Cambridge University Press"} @STRING{evalRev="Evaluation Review"} @STRING{eos = "EOS Trans. Am. geophys. Un."} @STRING{epsl="Earth. Planet. Sci. Lett."} @STRING{fedreg="Federal Register"} @STRING{geoprosp="Geophys. Prosp."} @STRING{geophys="Geophysics"} @STRING{grl= "Geophys. Res. Lett."} @STRING{gjras = "Geophys. J. R. astron. Soc."} @STRING{gj = "Geophys. J."} @STRING{gji = "Geophys. J. Intl."} @STRING{ieeeit="IEEE Trans. Info. Th."} @STRING{ip = "Inverse Problems"} @STRING{jasa="J. Am. Stat. Assoc."} @STRING{jEdPsych="J. Ed. Psych."} @STRING{jmul="J. Mult. Anal."} @STRING{jrssa="J. Roy. Stat. Soc., Ser. A"} @STRING{jrssb="J. Roy. Stat. Soc., Ser. B"} @STRING{jrsssup="J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Suppl."} @STRING{jgr = "J. Geophys. Res."} @STRING{mnras="Mon. Not. roy. astr. Soc."} @STRING{nejm="New Eng. J. Med."} @STRING{nas="National Academy Press"} @STRING{pepi="Phys. Earth Planet. Inter."} @STRING{philtrans = "Phil. Trans. roy. Soc. Lon. A."} @STRING{pnas ="Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."} @STRING{prl="Phys. Rev. Lett."} @string{procieee="Proc. IEEE"} @STRING{procroysoc = "Proc. roy. Acad. Lon."} @STRING{revgeoph="Rev. Geophys."} @STRING{revgeophspace="Rev. Geophys. Space Phys."} @STRING{siamjssc="SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput."} @STRING{statSci="Stat. Sci."} @STRING{siam="Soc. for Industrial and Appl. Math."} @STRING{dc="Washington, D.C."} @STRING{ucbstat="Dept. Statistics, Univ. of {C}alif., {B}erkeley"} @STRING{ucbcfpa="Center for Particle Astrophysics, Univ. of {C}alif., {B}erkeley"} @STRING{ucb="Univ. of {C}alifornia, {B}erkeley"} @inproceedings{corderoEtal06, author = {Cordero, A. and D. Wagner and D. Dill}, title = {The Role of Dice in Election Audits -- Extended Abstract}, year = 2006, booktitle={IAVoSS Workshop On Trustworthy Elections (WOTE 2006)} } @inproceedings{lazarusEtal11, author = {E.L. Lazarus and D.L. Dill and J. Epstein and J.L. Hall}, year = 2011, url = {http://www.usenix.org/event/evtwote11/tech/final_files/Lazarus.pdf}, title = {Applying a Reusable Election Threat Model at the County Level}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2011 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop / Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE '11)}, month = {August}, organization = {{USENIX}} } @article{lindemanStark12, author = {Mark Lindeman and Philip B.~Stark}, title = {A Gentle Introduction to Risk-Limiting Audits}, journal = {IEEE Security and Privacy}, year = 2012, pages = {submitted}, url = {http://statistics.berkeley.edu/~stark/Preprints/gentle11.pdf} } @article{starkWagner12, author = {Philip B.~Stark and David A.~Wagner}, title = {Evidence-Based Elections}, journal = {IEEE Security and Privacy}, year = 2012, pages = {submitted}, url = {http://statistics.berkeley.edu/~stark/Preprints/evidenceVote12.pdf} } @incollection{higdonEtal10, author = {Higdon, D. and R.~Klein and M.~Anderson and M.~Berliner and C.~Covey and O.~Ghattas and C.~Graziani and S.~Habib and M.~Seager and J.~Sefcik and P.~Stark and and J.~Stewart}, year = 2010, title = {Panel Report on Uncertainty Quantification and Error Analysis}, booktitle = {Scientific Grand Challenges in National Security: The Role of Computing at the Extreme Scale}, publisher = {U.S. Department of Energy Office of Advanced Scientific Computing Research and National Nuclear Security Administration}, note = {\url{http://extremecomputing.labworks.org/nationalsecurity/PNNL_19379_NNSAFinalReport.pdf}} } @article{lopez-garciaEtal08, title = {The Relationship of Coffee Consumption with Mortality}, author = {Lopez-Garcia, E. and R.M. van~Dam and T.Y. Li and F. Rodriguez-Artalejo and F.B. Hu}, year = 2008, journal = {Ann. Internal Medicine}, pages = {904-914}, volume = 148, number = 12 } @article{benjamini10, author = {Benjamini, Yoav}, title = {Simultaneous and selective inference: Current successes and future challenges}, journal = {Biometrical Journal}, volume = 52, number = 6, year = 2010, pages = {708Ð721}, note = {DOI: 10.1002/bimj.200900299} } @article{fletcherColditz02, author = {Fletcher, S.W. and G.A. Colditz}, year = 2001, title = {Failure of estrogen plus progestin therapy for prevention}, journal = jama, volume = 288, pages = {366Ð369} } @article{shearerStark11, title = {The global risk of big earthquakes has not recently increased}, author = {Shearer, P.M. and P.B. Stark}, year = 2011, journal = {Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci.}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.1118525109}, url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2011/12/12/1118525109.full.pdf+html} } @article{zaliapinEtal08, title = {Clustering Analysis of Seismicity and Aftershock Identification}, author = {Zaliapin, Ilya and Gabrielov, Andrei and Keilis-Borok, Vladimir and Wong, Henry}, journal = {Phys. Rev. Lett.}, volume = {101}, number = {1}, pages = {018501}, numpages = {4}, year = {2008}, month = {Jun}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevLett.101.018501}, publisher = {American Physical Society} } @article{huttonEtal10, author = {Hutton, Kate and Woessner, Jochen and Hauksson, Egill}, title = {Earthquake Monitoring in Southern California for Seventy-Seven Years (1932-2008)}, journal = {Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America}, volume = {100}, number = {2}, pages = {423-446}, doi = {10.1785/0120090130}, year = {2010}, abstract = {The Southern California Seismic Network (SCSN) has produced the SCSN earthquake catalog from 1932 to the present, a period of more than 77 yrs. This catalog consists of phase picks, hypocenters, and magnitudes. We present the history of the SCSN and the evolution of the catalog, to facilitate user understanding of its limitations and strengths. Hypocenters and magnitudes have improved in quality with time, as the number of stations has increased gradually from 7 to [~]400 and the data acquisition and measuring procedures have become more sophisticated. The magnitude of completeness (Mc) of the network has improved from Mc[~]3.25 in the early years to Mc[~]1.8 at present, or better in the most densely instrumented areas. Mainshock-aftershock and swarm sequences and scattered individual background earthquakes characterize the seismicity of more than 470,000 events. The earthquake frequency-size distribution has an average b-value of [~]1.0, with M[≥]6.0 events occurring approximately every 3 yrs. The three largest earthquakes recorded were 1952 Mw 7.5 Kern County, 1992 Mw 7.3 Landers, and 1999 Mw 7.1 Hector Mine sequences, and the three most damaging earthquakes were the 1933 Mw 6.4 Long Beach, 1971 Mw 6.7 San Fernando, and 1994 Mw 6.7 Northridge earthquakes. All of these events ruptured slow-slipping faults, located away from the main plate boundary fault, the San Andreas fault. Their aftershock sequences constitute about a third of the events in the catalog. The fast slipping southern San Andreas fault is relatively quiet at the microseismic level and has not had an M>6 earthquake since 1932. In contrast, the slower San Jacinto fault has the highest level of seismicity, including several M>6 events. Thus, the spatial and temporal seismicity patterns exhibit a complex relationship with the plate tectonic crustal deformation. }, URL = {http://www.bssaonline.org/cgi/content/abstract/100/2/423}, eprint = {http://www.bssaonline.org/cgi/reprint/100/2/423.pdf} } @phdthesis{adida06, year = 2006, author = {Adida, B.}, school = {Massachusetts Institute of Technology}, title = {Advances in Cryptographic Voting Systems}, department = {Electrical Engineering and Computer Science} } @book{menezesEtal96, author = {Menezes, Alfred J. and Vanstone, Scott A. and Oorschot, Paul C. Van}, title = {Handbook of Applied Cryptography}, year = {1996}, isbn = {0849385237}, edition = {1st}, publisher = {CRC Press, Inc.}, address = {Boca Raton, FL, USA}, } @Book{abramowitz64, author = "Milton Abramowitz and Irene A. 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Allen}, title={Responsibilities in earthquake prediction}, journal=bssa, year={1976}, volume={66}, pages={2069-2074} } @article{allen09, author={Richard M. Allen and Paolo Gasparini and Osamu Kamigaichi and Maren B\"ose}, title={The status of earthquake early warning around the world: an introductory overview}, journal=srl, year={2009}, volume={80}, number={5}, pages={682-693} } @article{arabelos01, journal = {Tectonophysics}, volume = 338, year = 2001, pages = {315-323}, title = {The use of an outlier detecting method in time series of continuous daily measurements of underground water level and temperature in earthquake prediction investigation}, author = {Arabelos, D. and G. Asteriadis and M. Contadakis and G. Zioutas and Daoyi Xu and Cunde Zhang and Binghua Zheng} } @BOOK{asmussen03, AUTHOR="S\o{}ren Asmussen", TITLE={Applied Probability and Queues}, PUBLISHER={Springer}, address={New York}, YEAR={2003} } @Book{athreyaNey72, author = "Krishna B. Athreya and Peter E. 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Farrens}, title={An analysis of the information content of address reference streams}, booktitle={Proceedings of the 24th Annual IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Microarchitecture}, year={1991}, pages={19-24}, ee = {http://doi.acm.org/10.1145/123465.123470}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @article{bleierFreund05, author = {Bleier, T. and F. Freund}, title = {Earthquake Alarm}, journal = {{IEEE} Spectrum}, year = 2005, volume = {December}, pages = {22-27}, month = {December} } @article{bodri01, author = {Bodri, B.}, year = 2001, title = {A neural-network model for earthquake occurrence}, journal = {J. Geodynamics}, pages = {289-310}, volume = 32 } @article{bowman98, author = {Bowman, D.D. and G. Ouillon and C.G. Sammis and A. Sornette and D. Sornette}, title = {An Observational Test of the Critical Earthquake Concept}, journal = jgr, volume = 103, pages = {24359-24372}, year = 1998 } @techreport{bravaccino06, author={Giuditta Bravaccino and Pierre Br\'emaud and G. Nappo}, title={Simulation of linear stationary {H}awkes processes: the subexponential case}, institution={Department of Mathematics, Sapienza University of Rome}, year={2006} } @article{bremaudMassoulie96, author={Pierre Br\'emaud and Laurent Massouli\'e}, title={Stability of nonlinear {H}awkes processes}, journal={Ann. Probab.}, year={1996}, volume={24}, number={3}, pages={1563-1588} } @article{bremaud02, author={Pierre Br\'emaud and and G. Nappo and Giovanni Torrisi}, title={Rate of convergence to equilibrium of marked {H}awkes processes}, journal={J. Appl. Prob.}, year={2002}, volume={29}, pages={123-136} } @book{boxDraper87, author = {George E. P. Box and Norman R. Draper}, interhash = {20daa5053a5cc1072d6e214b1a82423d}, intrahash = {6ee1e60b8f713c188553b9b056400bb1}, pages = 669, publisher = {Wiley}, address={New York}, title = {Empirical Model-building and Response Surfaces}, year = 1987, date-added = {2007-09-03 22:45:16 -0500}, date-modified = {2007-09-03 22:45:16 -0500}, keywords = {Experimental Optimal design design;}, biburl = {http://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/26ee1e60b8f713c188553b9b056400bb1/jwbowers} } @article{chernoffLehmann54, author={Herman Chernoff and Erich L. Lehmann}, title={The use of maximum likelihood estimates in $\chi^2$ tests for goodness of fit}, journal={Ann. Math. Statist.}, year={1954}, volume={25}, number={3}, pages={579-586} } @article{christophersenSmith08, author={Annemarie Christophersen and Euan G.C. 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Murru}, title={A simple and testable model for earthquake clustering}, journal=jgr, year={2001}, volume={106}, number={B5}, pages={8699-8711} } @article{console03, author={Rodolfo Console and Anna Maria Lombardi and Maura Murru and David Rhoades}, title={B\aa{}th's law and the self-similarity of earthquakes}, journal=jgr, year={2003}, volume={108}, number={B2}, pages={2128} } @article{console09, author={Rodolfo Console and Maura Murru and Giuseppe Falcone}, title={Probability gains of an epidemic-type aftershock sequence model in retrospective forecasting of $M \ge 5$ earthquaks in {I}taly}, journal={Journal of Seismology}, year={2009}, volume={13}, pages={published online} } @article{craneSornette08, author={Riley Crane and Didier Sornette}, title={Robust dynamic classes revealed by measuring the response function of a social system}, journal=pnas, year={2008}, volume={105}, number={41}, pages={15649-15653} } @book{coverThomas06, author = {Cover, Thomas M. and Thomas, Joy A.}, isbn = {0471241954}, address = {New York}, publisher = {Wiley-Interscience}, series = {Wiley Series in Telecommunications and Signal Processing}, title = {Elements of Information Theory, 2nd Edition}, url = {http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/redirect?tag=citeulike07-20&path=ASIN/0471241954}, year = {2006} } @book{csiszarKorner81, author = {Csisz\'{a}r, Imre and K\"{o}rner, J\'{a}nos}, title = {Information Theory: Coding Theorems for Discrete Memoryless Systems}, year = {1981}, isbn = {0121984508}, publisher = {Academic Press}, address = {New York}, } @book{daley03, author = {Daley, Daryl J. and Vere-Jones, David }, citeulike-article-id = {4289891}, edition = {2003. Corr. 2nd.}, howpublished = {Gebundene Ausgabe}, isbn = {0387955410}, keywords = {book, glm, gp, mtr, pointprocess, spec3}, month = {June}, posted-at = {2009-04-08 15:48:43}, priority = {2}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin}, title = {An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes: 1 (Probability and Its Applications)}, url = {http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/redirect?tag=citeulike09-20\&path=ASIN/0387955410}, year = {2005} } @article{daley04, author = {Daley, Daryl J. and Vere-Jones, David }, citeulike-article-id = {2729360}, journal = {J. Appl. Probab.}, keywords = {forecasting, scoring, statistics}, pages = {297--312}, posted-at = {2008-04-28 10:19:06}, priority = {0}, title = {Scoring probability forecasts for point processes: the entropy score and information gain}, url = {http://projecteuclid.org/DPubS?service=UI\&\#38;version=1.0\&\#38;verb=Display\&\#38;handle=euclid.jap/1082552206}, volume = {41A}, year = {2004} } @book{daleyVere-Jones07, author = {Daley, Daryl J. and Vere-Jones, David }, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin}, title = {An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes: 2 (General Theory and Structure)}, year = {2007} } @article{dempster77, author={Arthur Dempster and Nan Laird and Donald Rubin}, title={Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm}, journal={Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B}, year={1977}, volume={39}, number={1}, pages={1-38} } @article{ebel07, author={John E. Ebel and Daniel W. Chambers and Alan L. Kafka and Jenny A. Baglivo}, title={Non-{P}oissonian earthquake clustering and the hidden {M}arkov model as bases for earthquake forecasting in {C}alifornia}, journal=srl, year={2007}, volume={78}, number={1}, pages={57-65} } @book{efron82, address = {Philadelphia, Pa.}, author = {{Bradley} Efron}, interhash = {1fc06c2784126911023c0681018f1a63}, intrahash = {76f11f1e9f3b99751acf8558e0ef6e58}, number = 38, publisher = {Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics}, series = {Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics}, title = {The Jackknife, the Bootstrap and Other Resampling Plans}, url = {http://gso.gbv.de/DB=2.1/CMD?ACT=SRCHA&SRT=YOP&IKT=1016&TRM=ppn+017474957&sourceid=fbw_bibsonomy}, year = 1982, keywords = {Resampling}, isbn = {0898711797}, biburl = {http://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/276f11f1e9f3b99751acf8558e0ef6e58/fbw_hannover}, pagetotal = {VII, 91}, ppn_gvk = {017474957} } @book{efronTibshirani93, author = "Efron, Bradley and Tibshirani, Robert J", title = "An Introduction to the Bootstrap", publisher = "Chapman and Hall", address = "London", series = "Mono. Stat. Appl. Probab.", year = "1993", } @ARTICLE{evisonRhoades93, AUTHOR = {Evison, F.~F. and D.~A.~Rhoades}, JOURNAL = {New Zealand J.\ of Geol.\ and Geophys.}, PAGES = {51-60}, TITLE = {The precursory earthquake swarm in {N}ew {Z}ealand: hypothesis tests}, VOLUME = {36}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{evisonRhoades97, AUTHOR = {Evison, F.~F. and D.~A.~Rhoades}, JOURNAL = {New Zealand J.\ of Geol.\ and Geophys.}, PAGES = {537-547}, TITLE = {The precursory earthquake swarm in {N}ew {Z}ealand: hypothesis tests {II}}, VOLUME = {40}, YEAR = {1997} } @book{fano61, author = {Robert M. Fano}, publisher = {MIT Press}, title = {Transmission of Information: A Statistical Theory of Communications}, year = {1961}, address={Cambridge, Mass.} } @article{federMerhav94, author={Meir Feder and Neri Merhav}, title={Relations between entropy and error probability}, journal={IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory}, year={1994}, volume={40}, number={1}, pages={259-266} } @book{feller68, author = {Feller, William}, title = {An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications}, publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons, Inc.}, address = {New York}, volume = {I}, edition = {3rd}, year = 1968, pages = 509 } @book{feller71, author = {William Feller}, publisher = {Wiley}, address = {New York}, title = {An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol.\ 2}, edition={2nd}, year = {1971} } @article{field07, author={Edward H. Field}, title={Overview of the Working Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models ({R}{E}{L}{M})}, journal={Seismo. Res. Letters}, year={2007}, volume={78}, number={1}, pages={7-16} } @article{foss07, author={Serguei Foss and Takis Konstantopoulos and Stan Zachary}, title={Discrete and continuous time modulated random walks with heavy-tailed increments}, journal={J. Theor. Probab.}, year={2007}, volume={20}, number={3}, pages={581-612} } @article{frohlichDavis93, author={Cliff Frohlich and Scott D. Davis}, title={Teleseismic $b$ values; or, much ado about 1.0}, journal=jgr, year={1993}, volume={98}, pages={631-644} } @article{gal02, author={Iddo Gal}, title={Developing statistical literacy: towards implementing change}, journal={International Statistical Review}, year={2002}, volume={70}, number={1}, pages={46-51} } @article{gardnerKnopoff74, author={J.K. Gardner and Leon Knopoff}, title={Is the sequence of earthquakes in {S}outhern {C}alifornia, with aftershocks removed, {P}oissonian?}, journal=bssa, year={1974}, volume={64}, number={15}, pages={1363-1367} } @inproceedings{geller96, author={Robert J. Geller}, title={{V}{A}{N}: A Critical Evaluation}, booktitle={A Critical Review of VAN}, publisher={World Scientific}, address={Singapore}, year={1996}, pages={155-238} } @article{geller97, author={Robert J. 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Appl. Probab.}, volume = {38A}, pages = {222-231}, year = {2001} } @ARTICLE{shcherbakovTurcotte04, author = {Shcherbakov, Robert and Turcotte, Donald L.}, title = {A modified form of {B}\aa{}th's law}, journal = bssa, volume = {94}, number={5}, pages = {1968-1975}, year = {2004} } @book{shilovGurevich77, author = {G.E. Shilov and B.L. Gurevich}, publisher = {Dover Publications}, address = {New York}, title = {Integral, Measure and Derivative: A Unifed Approach}, year = 1978, } @article{shou99, url = {http://quake.exit.com/A991003.html}, author = {Shou, Z.}, year = 1999, title = {Earthquake Clouds: a reliable precursor}, journal = {Science and Utopia}, volume = 64, pages = {53-57} } @ARTICLE{sornetteSornette89, author = {Sornette, Anne and Sornette, Didier}, title = {Self-organized criticality and earthquakes}, journal = {Europhy. Lett.}, volume = {9}, number={3}, pages = {197}, year = {1989} } @ARTICLE{sornetteSornette99, author = {Sornette, Anne and Sornette, Didier}, title = {Renormalization of earthquake aftershocks}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, volume = {26}, number={13}, pages = {1981-1984}, url = {http://www.citebase.org/abstract?id=oai:arXiv.org:cond-mat/9905314}, year = {1999} } @Article{sornetteUtkin09, title = {Limits of declustering methods for disentangling exogenous from endogenous events in time series with foreshocks, main shocks, and aftershocks}, author = {Sornette, D. and Utkin, S. }, journal = {Phys. Rev. E}, volume = {79}, number = {6}, pages = {061110}, numpages = {15}, year = {2009}, month = {Jun}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.79.061110}, publisher = {American Physical Society} } @ARTICLE{stark96, AUTHOR = {Stark, Philip B.}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1399-1402}, TITLE = {A few considerations for ascribing statistical significance to earthquake predictions}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @article{stark97, author = {Stark, P.B.}, year = 1997, title = {Earthquake prediction: the null hypothesis}, journal = gji, volume = 131, pages = {495-499} } @inbook{starkFreedman03, author = {P.B. Stark and D.A. Freedman}, year = 2003, title = {What is the Chance of an Earthquake?}, booktitle = {Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction}, bookeditor = {F. Mulargia and R.J. Geller}, series = {NATO Science Series IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences}, volume = 32, publisher = {Kluwer}, address = {Dordrecht, The Netherlands}, pages = {201-213} } @article{starkFrohlich85, author = {Stark, P.B. and C. Frohlich}, year = 1985, title = {The depths of the deepest deep Earthquakes}, journal = jgr, volume = 90, pages = {1859-1869} } @article{stothers04, author = {Stothers, R.B.}, year = 2004, title = {Earthquake prediction in antiquity}, journal = {Acient Hist. Bull.}, volume = 18, pages = {101-108} } @article{sulloway10, author = {Frank J. Sulloway and Richard L. Zweigenhaft}, year = 2010, title = {Birth Order and Risk Taking in Athletics: A Meta-Analysis and Study of Major League Baseball}, journal = {Pers. Soc. Psychol. Rev.}, volume = 14, pages = {402-416} } @article{sykesNishenko84, author = {{Sykes}, L.~R. and {Nishenko}, S.~P.}, title = "{Probabilities of occurrence of large plate rupturing earthquakes for the {S}an {A}ndreas, {S}an {J}acinto, and {I}mperial faults, {C}alifornia, 1983-2003}", journal = jgr, year = {1984}, month = {jul}, volume = {89}, number={B7}, pages = {5905-5928}, doi = {10.1029/JB089iB07p05905}, } @article{terada18, author={Terada, T.}, title={On the frequency of earthquakes and allied phenomena}, journal={Proc. Tokyo Math.-Phys. Soc. 2nd Ser.}, year={1918}, volume={9}, number={1}, pages={515-522} } @article{tiampo02, author = {Tiampo, K.F. and J.B. Rundle and S. McGinnis and S.J. Gross and W. Klein}, title = {Mean-field threshold systems and phase dynamics: An application to earthquake fault systems}, journal = {Europhys. Lett.}, volume = 60, pages = {481-488}, year = 2002 } @article{turcotte07, author = {D.L. Turcotte and J.R. Holliday and J.B. Rundle}, title = {BASS, an alternative to {E}{T}{A}{S}}, journal = grl, volume = 34, pages = {L12303}, year = 2007 } @ARTICLE{udiasRice75, AUTHOR = {Udias, A. and J.R. Rice}, JOURNAL = bssa, PAGES = {809-828}, TITLE = {Statistical analysis of microearthquake activity near {S}an {A}ndreas {G}eophysical {O}bservatory}, VOLUME = {65}, YEAR = {1975} } @ARTICLE{uhrhammer86, AUTHOR = {Robert Uhrhammer}, JOURNAL ={Earthq. Notes}, PAGES = {21}, TITLE = {Characteristic of northern and southern {C}alifornia seismicity}, VOLUME = {57}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{utada96, AUTHOR = {Utada, H.}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1391-1394}, TITLE = {Difficulty of statistical evaluation of an earthquake prediction method}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @article{utsu72, author={Utsu, Tokuji}, title={Estimation of parameters for recurrence models of earthquakes}, journal={Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst. Univ. Tokyo}, year={1984}, volume={59}, number={1}, pages={53-56} } @article{utsu84, author={Utsu, Tokuji}, title={Estimation of parameters for recurrence models of earthquakes}, journal={Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst. Univ. Tokyo}, year={1984}, volume={59}, number={1}, pages={53-56} } @article{utsu95, author={Utsu, Tokuji and Ogata, Yoshihiko and Matsu'ura, Mitsuhiro}, title={The centenary of the {O}mori {F}ormula for a decay law of aftershock activity}, journal={J. Phys. Earth}, year={1995}, volume={43}, pages={1-33} } @inbook{utsu02, author={Utsu, Tokuji}, title={Statistical features of seismicity}, booktitle={International handbook of earthquake \& engineering seismology}, chapter={43}, year={2002}, pages={719-732}, publisher = {Academic Press}, address={New York} } @article{utsuSeki55, author={Utsu, Tokuji and A. Seki}, title={Relation between the area of aftershock region and the energy of the main shock}, journal={Zisin: J. Seism. Soc. Japan}, year={1955}, volume={7}, pages={233-240} } % note: in Japanese @article{vapnik71, author = {V. N. Vapnik and A. Y. Chervonenkis}, title = {On the uniform convergence of relative frequencies of events to their probabilities}, journal = {Theory Probab. Appl.}, year = {1971}, volume = {16}, pages = {264--280} } @ARTICLE{varotsos81, AUTHOR = {Varotsos, P. and K.~Alexopoulos and K.~Nomicos}, JOURNAL = {Prakt.\ Akad.\ Athenon}, PAGES = {277-286}, TITLE = {Seismic electric currents}, VOLUME = {56}, YEAR = {1981} } @ARTICLE{varotsos96, AUTHOR = {Varotsos, P. and K. Eftaxias and F. Vallianatos and M. Lazaridou}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1295-1298}, TITLE = {Basic principles for evaluating an earthquake prediction method}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @article{varotsosLazaridou91, author={Panayotis Varotsos and M. Lazaridou}, title={Latest aspects of earthquake prediction in {G}reece based on seismic electrical signals}, journal={Tectonophysics}, year={1991}, volume={188}, pages={321-347} } @Misc{veen09, author = {Alejandro Veen}, howpublished = {personal communication}, year = 2009 } @inbook{veenSchoenberg05, author={Alejandro Veen and Frederic P. Schoenberg}, title={Assessing spatial point process models for {C}alifornia earthquakes using weighted $K$-functions: Analysis of {C}alifornia earthquakes}, booktitle={Case Studies in Spatial Point Process Models}, year={2005}, pages={293-306}, publisher = {Springer}, address={New York} } @article{veenSchoenberg08, author={Alejandro Veen and Frederic P. Schoenberg}, title={Estimation of space-time brancing process models in seismology using an {E}{M}-type algorithm}, journal= jasa, year={2008}, volume={482}, pages={614-624} } @article{vere-jones69, author={David Vere-Jones}, title={A note on the statistical interpretation of B\aa{}th's law}, journal=bssa, year={1969}, volume={59}, pages={1535-1541} } @article{vere-jones70, author = {{Vere-Jones}, D.}, title = {Stochastic models for earthquake occurrence}, journal = jrssb, year = 1970, volume = 32, pages = {1-62} } @article{vere-jones98, author={David Vere-Jones}, title={Probabilities and information gain for earthquake forecasting}, journal={Comput. Seismol.}, year={1998}, volume={30}, pages={248-263} } % note: in Russian? @article{vjOzaki82, author={David Vere-Jones and Tohru Ozaki}, title={Some examples of statistical inference applied to earthquake data}, journal={Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics}, year={1982}, volume={34}, pages={189-207} } @ARTICLE{wellsCoppersmith94, AUTHOR = {Donald L. Wells and Kevin J. Coppersmith}, JOURNAL = bssa, PAGES = {974-1002}, TITLE = {Empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement}, VOLUME = {84}, NUMBER = {4}, YEAR = {1994} } @book{wilkinsonPickett09, author = {Wilkinson, Richard and Pickett, Kate}, citeulike-article-id = {7796540}, keywords = {mm4ids, mm4ids-poverty}, posted-at = {2010-09-08 03:54:15}, priority = {2}, title = {{The Spirit Level: Why More Equal Societies Almost Always Do Better}}, publisher = {Allen Lane}, address = {London}, year = {2009} } @book{wittgenstein22, author = {Ludwig Wittgenstein}, interhash = {9537778db1908684325a795f814243a0}, intrahash = {2fb8a35551b935b90d672a90ea5b67d7}, publisher = {Routledge \& Kegan Paul}, address = {London}, title = {Tractatus {L}ogico-philosophicus}, year = 1922, timestamp = {2006.11.17}, keywords = {imported}, owner = {gregor}, biburl = {http://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/22fb8a35551b935b90d672a90ea5b67d7/gregoryy} } @techreport{wrightPierson92, author={Thomas L. Wright and Thomas C. Pierson}, title={Living with Volcanoes: The {U}.{S}. {G}eological {S}urvey's Volcano Hazards Program}, institution={U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1073}, year={1992} } @ARTICLE{wyssAllmann96, AUTHOR = {Wyss, M. and A. Allmann}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1307-1310}, TITLE = {Probability of chance correlations of earthquakes with predictions in areas of heterogeneous seismicity rate: the {VAN} case}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @ARTICLE{wyssBurford87, AUTHOR = {Wyss, M. and R.O. Burford}, JOURNAL = {Nature}, PAGES = {323-325}, TITLE = {Occurrence of a predicted earthquake on the {S}an {A}ndreas fault}, VOLUME = {329}, YEAR = {1987} } @article{zecharJordan08, author={J. Douglas Zechar and Thomas H. Jordan}, title={Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences}, journal=jasa, year={2002}, volume={97}, number={458}, pages={369-380} } @article{zhuang02, author={Jiancang Zhuang and Yosihiko Ogata and David Vere-Jones}, title={Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences}, journal=jasa, year={2002}, volume={97}, number={458}, pages={369-380} } @article{zhuang04, author={Jiancang Zhuang and Yosihiko Ogata and David Vere-Jones}, title={Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction}, journal=jgr, year={2004}, volume={109}, pages={B05301} } @article{zoller01, author={Z\"{o}ller, G. and S. Hainzl and J. Kurths}, year = 2001, title = {Observation of growing correlation length as an indicator for critical point behavior prior to large earthquakes}, journal = jgr, volume = 106, pages= {2167-2176} } @article{heEtal10, author = {He, S. and J. Zhang and S. Zhang}, title = {Bounding Probability of Small Deviation}, journal = {Mathematics of Operations Research}, volume = 35, pages = {208-232}, year = 2010 } @article{feige06, author = {Feige, U.}, year = 2006, title = {On sums of independent random variables with unbounded variances, and estimating the average degree in a graph}, journal = {{SIAM} J. Comput.}, volume = 35, pages = {964-984} } @ARTICLE{bergerHsu96, TITLE = {Bioequivalence trials, intersection-union tests and equivalence confidence sets}, AUTHOR = {Berger, R.L. and Hsu, J.C.}, JOURNAL = {Statist. Sci.}, VOLUME = 11, PAGES = {283-319}, YEAR = {1996} } @INPROCEEDINGS{dasGuptaEtal72, TITLE = {Inequalities on the probability context of convex regions for elliptically contoured distributions}, AUTHOR = {Das Gupta, S. and Eaton, M.L. and Olkin, I. and Perlman, M. and Savage, L.J. and Sobel, M.}, BOOKTITLE = {Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability}, YEAR = {1972}, PUBLISHER = {Univ. {C}alifornia Press}, ADRESS = {Berkeley}, PAGES = {241-265}, VOLUME = {2}, } @ARTICLE{hsuEtal94, TITLE = {Confidence intervals associated with tests for bioequivalence}, AUTHOR = {Hsu, J.C. and Hwang, J.T.G. and Liu, H. and Ruberg, S.J.}, JOURNAL = {Biometrika}, VOLUME = {81}, PAGES = {103-114}, YEAR = {1994} } @BOOK{lehmann86, AUTHOR = {Lehmann, E.L.}, ADDRESS = {New York}, EDITION = {2nd}, PUBLISHER = {John Wiley and Sons}, TITLE = {Testing Statistical Hypotheses}, YEAR = {1986} } @MASTERSTHESIS{madar01, TITLE = {Non equivariant confidence intervals less likely to contain zero}, AUTHOR = {Madar, V.}, school = {Tel-Aviv Univ.}, YEAR = {2001} } @PHDTHESIS{madar08, TITLE = {Simultaneous confidence intervals for sign determination}, AUTHOR = {Madar, V.}, school = {Tel-Aviv Univ.}, YEAR = {2008} } @ARTICLE{rossouwEtal02, TITLE = {Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results from the Women's Health Initiative randomized controlled trial}, AUTHOR = {Rossouw, J.E. and Anderson, G.L. and Prentice, R.L. and LaCroix, A.Z}, JOURNAL = jama, VOLUME = {288}, PAGES = {321-333}, YEAR = {2002} } @ARTICLE{sidak71, TITLE = {On probabilities of rectangles in multivariate student distributions: their dependence on correlations confidence regions for the means of multivariate normal distributions}, AUTHOR = {\v{S}id\'{a}k, Z.}, JOURNAL = {Ann. Math. Statist.}, VOLUME = {42}, PAGES = {169-175}, YEAR = {1971} } @article{benjaminiYekutieli05, author = {Benjamini, Y. and Yekutieli, Y.}, year = 2005, title = {False discovery rate controlling confidence intervals for selected parameters}, journal = jasa, volume = 100, number = 469, pages = {71--80}, } @article{blinded10, author = {Anonymous, I.M.}, year = 2010, title = {Blinded}, journal = jasa, volume = {submitted} } @article{benjaminiWeinstein10, author = {Benjamini, Y. and A. Weinstein}, year = 2010, title = {Selection Adjusted Confidence Intervals with More Power to Determine the Sign}, journal = jasa, volume = {submitted} } @article{zhongPrentice08, author = {Zhong, H. and R.L. Prentice}, year = 2008, title = {Bias-Reduced Estimators and Confidence Intervals for Odds Ratios in Genome-Wide Association Studies}, journal = {Biostatistics}, volume = 9, pages = {621--634} } @article{friedmanRafsky79, year = 1979, author = {Friedman, J.H. and L.C. Rafsky}, title = {Multivariate Generalizations of the {W}ald-{W}olfowitz and {S}mirnov Two-Sample Tests}, journal = annstat, volume = 7, year = 1979, pages = {697-717} } @article{grettonEtal08, year = 2008, author = {Gretton, A. and K.M. Borgwardt and M.J. Rasch and B. Sch\:{o}lkopf and A. Smola}, title = {A Kernel method for the two-sample problem}, journal = {J. Machine Learning Res.}, volume = 1, pages = {1--10} } @article{bickel69, author = {Bickel, P.J.}, year = 1969, title = {A distribution free version of the {S}mirnov two sample test in the $p$-variate case}, journal = {Ann. Math. Stat.}, volume = 40, pages = {1--23} } @article{baringhausFranz04, author = {Baringhaus, L. and C. Franz}, year = 2004, title = {On a new multivariate two-sample test}, journal = {J. Multivariate Analysis}, volume = 88, pages = {190--206} } @article{hallTajvidi02, year = 2002, author = {Hall, P. and N. Tajvidi}, title = {Permutation tests for equality of distributions in high-dimensional settings}, journal = {Biometrika}, volume = 89, pages = {359-374} } @article{ferger00, year = 2000, author = {Ferger, D.}, title = {Optimal Tests for the General Two-Sample Problem}, journal = {J. Multivariate Analysis}, volume = 74, pages = {1--35} } @book{pesarinSalmaso10, author = {Pesarin, F. and L. Salmaso}, title = {Permutation tests for complex data: Theory, applications, and software}, publisher = {John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.}, address = {West Sussex, UK}, year = 2010, pages = {417} } @book{good10, author = {Good, P. I.}, year = 2010, title = {Permutation, Parametric, and Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses, 3rd ed.}, publisher = {Springer Science$+$Business Media, Inc.}, address = {New York}, pages = 315 } @book{bassoEtal09, author = {Basso, D. and F. Pesarin and L. Salmaso and A. Solari}, year = 2009, title = {Permutation Tests for Stochastic Ordering and {ANOVA}}, publisher = {Springer Science$+$Business Media, Inc.}, address = {New York}, pages = {217} } @book{edgingtonOnghena07, author = {Edgington, E. and P. Onghena}, year = 2007, title = {Randomization Tests, 4th ed.}, publisher = {Chapman and Hall}, address = {}, pages = {} } @article{pitman37a, author = {Pitman, E.J.G.}, journal = {Supplement to J. Roy. Statis. Soc.}, year = 1937, volume = 4, title = {Significance Tests which may be applied to Samples from any Populations}, pages = {119--130} } @article{pitman37b, author = {Pitman, E.J.G.}, journal = {Supplement to J. Roy. Statis. Soc.}, year = 1937, volume = 4, title = {Significance Tests which may be applied to Samples from any Populations. {II}. The Correlation Coefficient Test}, pages = {225--232} } @article{pitman37c, author = {Pitman, E.J.G.}, journal = {Supplement to J. Roy. Statis. Soc.}, year = 1937, volume = 4, title = {Significance Tests which may be applied to Samples from any Populations. {III}. The Analysis of Variance Test}, pages = {322--335} } @article{katz75, title = {Presentation of a Confidence Interval Estimate as Evidence in a Legal Proceeding}, author = {Katz, Leo}, journal = {The American Statistician}, volume = 29, number = 4, pages = {138-142}, URL = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2683480} } @article{kaye65, volume = 73, journal = {Cornell Law Review}, year = 1965, pages = {54- ??}, title = {Apples and Oranges: Confidence Coefficients and the Burden of Persuasion}, author = {Kaye, David H.} } @article{gold86, title = {Causation in Toxic Torts: Burdens of Proof, Standards of Persuasion, and Statistical Evidence}, author = {Gold, Steve}, journal = {The Yale Law Journal}, volume = {96}, number = {2}, jstor_formatteddate = {Dec., 1986}, pages = {376--402}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/796423}, ISSN = {00440094}, year = {1986}, publisher = {The Yale Law Journal Company, Inc.}, copyright = {Copyright 1986 The Yale Law Journal Company, Inc.}, } @article{gastwirth92, jstor_articletype = {primary_article}, title = {Statistical Reasoning in the Legal Setting}, author = {Gastwirth, Joseph L.}, journal = {The American Statistician}, jstor_issuetitle = {}, volume = {46}, number = {1}, jstor_formatteddate = {Feb., 1992}, pages = {55--69}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2684414}, ISSN = {00031305}, abstract = {Expert testimony, based on statistical data and inference, has become a routine part of legal proceedings. This article describes the role of statistics as evidence in a variety of cases and how the relevance of statistical exhibits relates to legal standards and burdens of proof.}, year = {1992}, publisher = {American Statistical Association}, } @article{1975, jstor_articletype = {primary_article}, title = {Beyond the Prima Facie Case in Employment Discrimination Law: Statistical Proof and Rebuttal}, author = {}, journal = {Harvard Law Review}, jstor_issuetitle = {}, volume = {89}, number = {2}, jstor_formatteddate = {Dec., 1975}, pages = {387--422}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/1340295}, ISSN = {0017811X}, abstract = {}, language = {}, year = {1975}, publisher = {The Harvard Law Review Association} } @misc{starkUQQ09, author = {Stark, P.B.}, year = 2009, howpublished = {\url{http://statistics.berkeley.edu/~stark/Seminars/llnl09.pdf}}, title = {Uncertainty Quantification Qualification} } @article{brethEtal78, author = {Breth, M. and J.S. Maritz and E.J. Williams}, title = {On distribution-free lower confidence limits for the mean of a nonnegative random variable}, journal = {Biometrika}, year = 1978, volume = 65, pages = {529-534} } @incollection{jeffreys67, year = 1967, author = {Jeffreys, H.}, title = {Statistical methods in seismology}, editor = {Runcorn, K.}, booktitle = {International Dictionary of Geophysics}, publisher = {Pergamon}, address = {London}, pages = {1398-1401} } @book{qmu09, year = 2009, publisher = {National Academies Press}, address = {Washington, D.C.}, title = {Evaluation of Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties, Methodology for Assessing and Certifying the Reliability of the Nuclear Stockpile}, author = {Ahearne, J.F. and M. Adams and J. Cornwall and D. Eardley and B.J. Garrick and R.L. Garwin and S.P. Gold and Y. Gupta and D. Hammer and T. Hardebeck and J. Kammerdiener and S. Keller-McNulty and E.J. Moniz and M. Ortiz and J. Paul and R. Rosner and R. Shelden} } @article{helmstetterSornette03, year = 2003, author = {Helmstetter, A. and D. Sornette}, title = {Predictability in the {ETAS} Model of Interacting Triggered Seismicity}, journal = jgr, volume = 108, pages = 2482, note = {http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0208597} } @inproceedings{calandrinoEtal07, title = {Machine-Assisted Election Auditing}, author = {Calandrino, J.A. and J.A. Halderman and E.W. Felten}, organization = {{USENIX}}, year = 2007, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2007 USENIX/ACCURATE Electronic Voting Technology Workshop (EVT 07)}, month = {August} } @inproceedings{calandrinoEtal09, title = {Some Consequences of Paper Fingerprinting for Elections}, author = {Calandrino, J.A. and W. Clarkson and E.W. Felten}, organization = {{USENIX}}, year = 2009, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2009 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop / Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE '09)}, month = {August} } @misc{calandrinoEtal11, title = {Bubble Trouble: Off-Line De-Anonymization of Bubble Forms}, author = {Calandrino, J.A. and W. Clarkson and E.W. Felten}, year = 2011, howpublished = {\url{http://www.cs.princeton.edu/~wclarkso/bubble-trouble.pdf}} } @inproceedings{sturtonEtal09, author = {Sturton, C. and E. Rescorla and D. Wagner}, title = {Weight, Weight, Don't Tell Me: Using Scales to Select Ballots for Auditing}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2009 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop / Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE '09)}, year = 2009, month = {August}, organization = {{USENIX}} } @inproceedings{magrinoEtal11, title = {Computing the Margin of Victory in {IRV} Elections}, year = 2011, author = {Magrino, T.R. and R.L. Rivest and E. Shen and D. Wagner}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2011 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop / Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE '11)}, month = {August}, organization = {{USENIX}} } @inproceedings{cary11, title = {Estimating the Margin of Victory for Instant-Runoff Voting}, author = {Cary, D.}, year = 2011, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2011 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop / Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE '11)}, month = {August}, organization = {{USENIX}} } @inproceedings{corderoEtal11, title = {An Analysis of Write-in Marks on Optical Scan Ballots}, year = 2011, author = {Cordero, A. and D. Wagner and T. Ji and A. Tsai and E. Kim and R. Srikantan}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2011 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop / Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE '11)}, month = {August}, organization = {{USENIX}} } @inproceedings{popoveniucStanton07, title = {Undervote and pattern voting: Vulnerability and a mitigation technique}, year = 2007, booktitle = {Pre-Proceedings of the 2007 IAVoSS Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (WOTE '09)}, author = {Popoveniuc, S. and J. 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Webber}, title = {Implementing risk-limiting post-election audits in {C}alifornia}, organization = {{USENIX}}, booktitle = {Proc.~2009 Electronic Voting Technology Workshop/Workshop on Trustworthy Elections (EVT/WOTE~'09)}, address = {Montreal, Canada}, month = {August}, year = 2009, url = {http://www.usenix.org/event/evtwote09/tech/full_papers/hall.pdf} } @article{miratrixStark09a, author = {Miratrix, L. and P.B. Stark}, title = {The trinomial bound for post-election audits}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security}, year = 2009, volume = {4}, pages = {974-981} } @techreport{miratrixStark09b, author = {Miratrix, L. and P.B. Stark}, title = {Sequential audits using the {K}aplan-{M}arkov Bound}, institution = ucbstat, year = 2009 } @misc{stark09e, author = {Stark, P.B.}, title = {The status and near future of post-election auditing}, howpublished = {\url{http://statistics.berkeley.edu/~stark/Preprints/auditingPosition09.htm}}, year = 2009 } @article{higginsEtal11, author = {Higgins, M. and R.L. Rivest and P.B. 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M.}, journal = {The Annals of Mathematical Statistics}, jstor_issuetitle = {}, volume = {37}, number = {1}, jstor_formatteddate = {Feb., 1966}, pages = {248--259}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2238704}, ISSN = {00034851}, abstract = {Let S(?1, ?, ?n) be the "class of all random variables", Sn, which are sums of n independent, non-negative random variables, X1, ?, Xn, with EXi = ?i, i = 1, ?, n. We consider the problem of finding \begin{equation*}\tag{1.1}\inf_{S_n\varepsilon\mathscr{S}(\nu_1,\cdots, \nu_n)} P\{S_n < \lambda\}\end{equation*} where ? is a positive constant. For n = 1, the infimum is 1 - ?1/? from the well-known Markov inequality. The solution for n = 2 was given in [2]. We derive the solution for n = 3. From these results we conjecture what the solution is for arbitrary n. To lend support to the conjecture, we examine a sub-class of S(?1, ?, ?n), namely those Sn's for which the problem reduces to one of considering the number of successes in independent trials. We show that, within this subclass, the conjectured value does minimize $P\{S_n < \lambda\}$ .}, publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, language = {}, copyright = {Copyright 1966 Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, year = {1966}, } @misc{halversonWolff07, title = {Report and Analysis of the 2006 Post-Election Audit of {M}innesota’s Voting Systems}, organization = {Citizens for Election Integrity Minnesota}, author = {Halvorson, M. and L. Wolff}, year = 2007, howpublished = {ceimn.org/files/CEIMNAuditReport2006.pdf} } @misc{stanislevic06, author = {Stanislevic, H.}, year = 2006, title = {Random Auditing of E-Voting Systems: How Much is Enough?}, institution = {VoteTrust USA}, howpublished = {www.votetrustusa.org/pdfs/VTTF/EVEPAuditing.pdf} } @techreport{nordenEtal07, author = {Norden, L. and A. Burstein and J.L. Hall and M. 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Nevitte and G. Cowan}, year = 2002, title = {The Quick Count and Election Observation}, publisher = {National Democratic Institute for International Affairs}, address = {Washington, D.C.} } @book{bjornlund04, author = {Bjornlund, E.C.}, year = 2004, title = {Beyond Free and Fair: Monitoring Elections and Building Democracy}, publisher = {Woodrow Wilson Center Press}, address = {Washington, D.C.} } @misc{supremeCountCOPA04, year = 2004, howpublished = {542~U.S. No.~03--218} } @misc{etesting01, author = {{eTesting} Labs}, year = 2001, title = {{U.S.} {D}epartment of {J}ustice: Web Content Filtering Software Comparison} } @misc{etesting02, author = {{eTesting} Labs}, year = 2002, title = {Corporate Content Filtering Performance and Effectiveness Testing} } @techreport{greenfieldEtal01, author = {Greenfield, P. and P. Rickwood and H.C. Tran}, year = 2001, title = {Effectiveness of {I}nternet Filtering Software Products}, institution = {{CSIRO} Mathematical and Information Sciences} } @misc{munro04, author = {Munro, J.}, year = 2004, title = {Cybersitter 9.0 review}, journal = {PC Magazine}, howpublished = {www.pcmag.com/article2/0,1759,1618830,00.asp} } @misc{consumersUnion05, author = {{Consumers Union of the U.S., Inc.}}, year = 2005, title = {Filtering software: Better, but still fallible}, journal = {Consumer Reports}, howpublished = { www.consumerreports.org/cro/electronics-computers/internet-filtering-software-605/overview/index.htm} } @misc{telageEtal00, author = {Telage, D. and S. Balkam and J. Bastian and J. Berman and A.H. DeRosier~Jr. and J.R. Flores and A.F. Ganier III and M.E. Horowitz and D.R. Hughes and W.M. Parker and C.L. Peeler and G.L. Rohde and C.J. Schmidt and W.L. Schrader and L. Shapiro and S. Srinivasan and K. Talbert and G. 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Popa and R.L. Rivest}, title = {On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes}, institution = {Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, MIT}, year = 2007, howpublished = {people.csail.mit.edu/rivest/AslamPopaRivest-OnAuditingElectionsWhenPrecinctsHaveDifferentSizes.pdf} } @misc{rivest07, author = {Rivest, R.L.}, title = {On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes}, institution = {Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, MIT}, year = 2007, howpublished = {http://people.csail.mit.edu/rivest/Rivest-OnAuditingElectionsWhenPrecinctsHaveDifferentSizes.pdf} } @inproceedings{aslamEtal08, author = {Aslam, J.A. and R.A. Popa and R.L. Rivest}, title = {On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes}, booktitle = {2008 USENIX/ACCURATE Electronic Voting Technology Workshop, San Jose, CA, 28--29 July}, year = 2008, note = {\url{http://www.usenix.org/event/evt08/tech/full_papers/aslam/aslam.pdf}, retrieved 30 May 2011} } @misc{rivest06, author = {Rivest, R.L.}, title = {On Estimating the Size of a Statistical Audit}, year = 2006, institution = {Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, MIT}, howpublished = {people.csail.mit.edu/rivest/Rivest-OnEstimatingTheSizeOfAStatisticalAudit.pdf} } @article{rivest08, author = {Rivest, R.L.}, title = {On the notion of `software independence' in voting systems}, journal = {Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A}, month = {October}, year = 2008, volume = 366, number = 1881, pages = {3759-3767} } @misc{peaswg07, author = {Jefferson, D. and K.Alexander and E. Ginnold and A. Lehmkuhl and K. Midstokke and P.B. 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Stat.}, URL = {http://arxiv.org/abs/0807.4005} } @article{stark08e, author = {Stark, P.B.}, year = 2008, title = {The effectiveness of Internet content filters}, journal = {{I/S}: A Journal of Law and Policy for the Information Society}, volume = 4, pages = {411-429}, misc = \url{http://statistics.berkeley.edu/~stark/Preprints/filter07.pdf} } @misc{stark08c, author = {Stark, P.B.}, title = {Election audits by sampling with probability proportional to an error bound: dealing with discrepancies}, year = 2008, comment = {working paper}, howpublished = {statistics.berkeley.edu/$\sim$stark/Preprints/ppebwrwd08.pdf} } @article{stark08d, author = {Stark, P.B.}, title = {A sharper discrepancy measure for post-election audits}, year = 2008, volume = {2}, pages = {982-985}, URL = {http://arxiv.org/abs/0811.1697}, journal = {Ann. Appl. Stat.} } @article{safe08, title = {Percentage-Based versus Statistical-Power-Based Vote Tabulation Audits}, author = {McCarthy, J. and H.I. Stanislevic and M. 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Popov and I. P\v{s}en\v{c}ik}, JOURNAL = gjras, PAGES = {109-128}, TITLE = {Computation of wave fields in inhomogeneous media---{G}aussian beam approach}, VOLUME = {70}, YEAR = {1982} } @ARTICLE{acevesEtal96, AUTHOR = {Aceves, R.L. and S.K. Park and D.J. Strauss}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1425-1428}, TITLE = {Statistical evaluation of the {VAN} method using the historic earthquake catalog in {G}reece}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @ARTICLE{adlerEtal89, AUTHOR = {Adler, I. and N. Karmarkar and M. Resende and G. Veiga}, JOURNAL = {Math. Prog.}, PAGES = {297-335}, TITLE = {An Implementation of Karmarkar's Algorithm for Linear Programming}, VOLUME = {44}, YEAR = {1989} } @ARTICLE{adlerBeling91, AUTHOR = {Adler, I. and P. Beling}, JOURNAL = {Math. Prog.}, TITLE = {Polynomial Algorithm for {LP} over a Subring of the Algebraic Integers with Applications to {LP} with Circulant Matrices}, VOLUME = {to appear}, YEAR = {1992} } @ARTICLE{adlerBeling92, AUTHOR = {Adler, I. and P. 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Froidevaux}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {13,739-13,754}, TITLE = {Mantle Heterogeneities, Geoid, and Plate Motion: A {M}onte {C}arlo Inversion}, VOLUME = {94}, YEAR = {1989} } @ARTICLE{ricardEtal93, AUTHOR = {Ricard, Y. and Richards, M. and Lithgow-Bertelloni, C. and Le Stunff, Y.}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {1,895-21,909}, TITLE = {A geodynamic model of mantle density heterogeneity}, VOLUME = {98}, YEAR = {1993} } @BOOK{rice95, AUTHOR = {Rice, J.A.}, ADDRESS = {Belmont, CA}, PUBLISHER = {Duxbury}, TITLE = {Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis, 2nd edition}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{riedel96, AUTHOR = {Riedel, K.S.}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1407-1409}, TITLE = {Statistical tests for evaluating earthquake prediction methods}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @ARTICLE{riedelSidorenko95, AUTHOR = {Riedel, K.S. and A. Sidorenko}, JOURNAL = {IEEE Trans. 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Control Inform.}, PAGES = {211-222}, TITLE = {A predictive least-squares Principle}, VOLUME = {3}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{ritzwollerEtal88, AUTHOR = {Ritzwoller, M. and G. Masters and F. Gilbert}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {6369-6396}, TITLE = {Constraining aspherical structure with low-degree interaction coefficients: {A}pplication to uncoupled multiplets}, VOLUME = {93}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{ritzwollerLavely91, AUTHOR = {Ritzwoller, M.H. and E.M. Lavely}, JOURNAL = apj, PAGES = {557-566}, TITLE = {A unified approach to the helioseismic forward and inverse problems of differential rotation}, VOLUME = {369}, YEAR = {1991} } @INPROCEEDINGS{ritzwollerKelly93, AUTHOR = {Ritzwoller, M.H. and J.F. Kelly}, BOOKTITLE = {GONG 1992: Seismic Investigations of the Sun and Stars}, EDITOR = {Brown, T.}, PAGES = {261-264}, PUBLISHER = {Astron. Soc. Pac.}, SERIES = {Conference Ser.}, TITLE = {Detecting giant cell convection with helioseismic linewidths}, VOLUME = {42}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{roberts65, AUTHOR = {Roberts, H.V.}, JOURNAL = jasa, PAGES = {50-62}, TITLE = {Probabilistic prediction}, VOLUME = {60}, YEAR = {1965} } @BOOK{robertsonEtal88, AUTHOR = {Robertson, T. and F.T. Wright and R.L. Dykstra}, ADDRESS = {Chichester}, PUBLISHER = {John Wiley and Sons}, TITLE = {Order Restricted Statistical Inference}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{robinsGreenland89a, AUTHOR = {Robins, J. and S. Greenland}, JOURNAL = {Statistics in Medicine}, PAGES = {845-859}, TITLE = {Estimability and estimation of excession and etiologic fractions}, VOLUME = {8}, YEAR = {1989} } @ARTICLE{robinsGreenland89b, AUTHOR = {Robins, J. and S. Greenland}, JOURNAL = {Biometrics}, PAGES = {1125-1138}, TITLE = {The probability of causation under a stochastic model for individual risk}, VOLUME = {45}, YEAR = {1989} } @BOOK{robinson80, AUTHOR = {Robinson, E.A.}, ADDRESS = {New York}, PAGES = {302}, PUBLISHER = {Macmillan}, TITLE = {Physical applications of stationary time-series, with special reference to digital data processing of seismic signals}, YEAR = {1980} } @BOOK{robinson82, AUTHOR = {Robinson, E.A.}, ADDRESS = {Boston, MA}, PAGES = {224}, PUBLISHER = {Int. Human Resour. Dev. Corp.}, TITLE = {Migration of geophysical data}, YEAR = {1982} } @BOOK{robinson83, AUTHOR = {Robinson, E.A.}, ADDRESS = {Dordrecht, Netherlands}, PAGES = {453}, PUBLISHER = {D. Reidel Publ. Co.}, TITLE = {Multichannel time series analysis with digital computer programs}, YEAR = {1983} } @INBOOK{robinson81, AUTHOR = {Robinson, E.A.}, ADDRESS = {London}, BOOKTITLE = {Developments in geophysical exploration methods II}, EDITOR = {Fitch, A.A.}, PAGES = {77-106}, PUBLISHER = {Appl. Sci. Publ.}, TITLE = {Predictive deconvolution}, YEAR = {1981} } @BOOK{robinsonEtal86, AUTHOR = {Robinson, E.A. and Durrani, T.S. and Peardon, L.G.}, ADDRESS = {Englewood Cliffs, NJ}, PAGES = {481}, PUBLISHER = {Prentice-Hall Int.}, TITLE = {Geophysical signal processing}, YEAR = {1986} } @BOOK{robinsonTreitel80, AUTHOR = {Robinson, E.A. and Treitel, S.}, ADDRESS = {Englewood Cliffs, NJ}, PAGES = {457}, PUBLISHER = {Prentice-Hall}, TITLE = {Geophysical signal analysis}, YEAR = {1980} } @article{robinsonEtal93, Author="Robinson, J.G. and B. Ahmed and P. Das~Gupta and K.A. Woodrow", year=1993, title="Estimation of population coverage in the 1990 {U}nited {S}tates {C}ensus based on demographic analysis", journal=jasa, volume=88, pages="1061-1079" } @BOOK{rockafellar74, AUTHOR = {Rockafellar, R.T.}, ADDRESS = {Philadelphia, PA}, PUBLISHER = siam, TITLE = {Conjugate Duality and Optimization}, YEAR = {1974} } @ARTICLE{rodgersWahr93, AUTHOR = {Rodgers, A. and Wahr, J.}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {991-1011}, TITLE = {Inference of core-mantle boundary topography from {ISC} {PcP} and {PKP} traveltimes}, VOLUME = {115}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{rollin95, AUTHOR = {Rollin, K. E.}, JOURNAL = {Tectonophysics}, PAGES = {185-196}, TITLE = {A simple heat-flow quality function and appraisal of heat-flow measurements and heat-flow estimates from the {UK} Geothermal Catalogue}, VOLUME = {244}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{rolph93, AUTHOR = {Rolph, J.E.}, JOURNAL = {Jurimetrics}, PAGES = {85-98}, TITLE = {The {C}ensus Adjustment Trial: Reflections of a Witness for the Plaintiffs}, VOLUME = {34}, YEAR = {1993} } @article{romano88, author = {Romano, J.P.}, title = {A bootstrap revival of some nonparametric distance tests}, year = 1988, journal = jasa, volume = 83, pages = {698-708}, remark = {Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0162-1459%28198809%2983%3A403%3C698%3AABROSN%3E2.0.CO%3B2-Q} } @article{romano90, author = {Romano, J.P.}, title = {On the behavior of randomization tests without a group invariance assumption}, year = 1990, journal = jasa, volume = 85, pages = {686--692} } @article{romano89, author = {Romano, J.P.}, title = {Bootstrap and randomization tests of some nonparametric hypotheses}, journal = annstat, year = 1989, volume = 17, pages = {141-159}, remark = {Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0090-5364%28198903%2917%3A1%3C141%3ABARTOS%3E2.0.CO%3B2-R} } @ARTICLE{romanowicz95, AUTHOR = {Romanowicz, B.}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {12,375-12,394}, TITLE = {A global tomographic model of shear attenuation in the upper mantle}, VOLUME = {100}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{romanowicz91, AUTHOR = {Romanowicz, B.}, JOURNAL = annreveps, PAGES = {77-99}, TITLE = {Seismic tomography of the {E}arth's mantle}, VOLUME = {19}, YEAR = {1991} } @BOOK{ropperEtal91, AUTHOR = {Ropper, A.H. and E.F.M. 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Holland}, PAGES = {82-103}, PUBLISHER = siam, TITLE = {Well-Posed Questions and Exploration of the Space of Parameters in Linear and Non-Linear Inversion}, YEAR = {1984} } @INCOLLECTION{sabatier87, AUTHOR = {Sabatier, P.C.}, ADDRESS = {Philadelphia}, BOOKTITLE = {Basic Methods of Tomography and Inverse Problems}, EDITOR = {Sabatier, P.C.}, PAGES = {471-667}, PUBLISHER = {Adam Hilger}, TITLE = {Basic Concepts and Methods of Inverse Problems}, YEAR = {1987} } @ARTICLE{sacchiEtal94, AUTHOR = {Sacchi, M. D. and D.R. Velis and A.H. Cominguez}, JOURNAL = geophys, PAGES = {938-945}, TITLE = {Minimum entropy deconvolution with frequency-domain constraints}, VOLUME = {59}, YEAR = {1994} } @ARTICLE{safonEtal77, AUTHOR = {Safon, C. and G. Vasseur and M. Cuer}, JOURNAL = geophys, PAGES = {1215-1229}, TITLE = {Some applications of linear programming to the inverse gravity problem}, VOLUME = {42}, YEAR = {1977} } @ARTICLE{safranekEtal91, AUTHOR = {Safranek, T.J. and D.N. Lawrence and L.T. 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Toks{\"{o}}z}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {84-86}, TITLE = {Three Dimensional Model of Seismic Velocity Variation in the {E}arth's Mantle}, VOLUME = {3}, YEAR = {1976} } @ARTICLE{shearer91, AUTHOR = {Shearer, P.M.}, JOURNAL = jgr, NUMBER = {B11}, PAGES = {18,147-18,182}, TITLE = {Constraints on upper mantle discontinuities from observations of long-period reflected and converted phases}, VOLUME = {96}, YEAR = {1991} } @BOOK{shor85, AUTHOR = {Shor, N.Z.}, ADDRESS = {Berlin, Heidelberg, Germany}, PUBLISHER = {Springer-Verlag}, TITLE = {Minimization Methods for Non-Differentiable Functions}, YEAR = {1985} } @ARTICLE{shureEtal82, AUTHOR = {Shure, L. and R.L. Parker and G.E. Backus}, JOURNAL = pepi, PAGES = {215-229}, TITLE = {Harmonic splines for geomagnetic modeling}, VOLUME = {28}, YEAR = {1982} } @ARTICLE{shureEtal85, AUTHOR = {Shure, L. and R.L. Parker and R.A. Langel}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {11,505-11,512}, TITLE = {A preliminary harmonic spline model from {Magsat} data}, VOLUME = {90}, YEAR = {1985} } @ARTICLE{sibisiEtal84, AUTHOR = {Sibisi, S. et al.}, JOURNAL = {Nature}, PAGES = {446-447}, TITLE = {Maximum entropy signal processing in practical {NMR} spectroscopy}, VOLUME = {311}, YEAR = {1984} } @ARTICLE{silk92, AUTHOR = {Silk, J.}, JOURNAL = {Nature}, PAGES = {741-742}, TITLE = {Cosmology back to the beginning}, VOLUME = {356}, YEAR = {1992} } @ARTICLE{silverEtal88, AUTHOR = {Silver, P.G. and R.W. Carlson and P. Olson}, JOURNAL = annreveps, PAGES = {477-541}, TITLE = {Deep slabs, geochemical heterogeneity, and the large-scale structure of mantle convection: {I}nvestigation of an enduring paradox}, VOLUME = {16}, YEAR = {1988} } @BOOK{silverman86, AUTHOR = {Silverman, B.W.}, ADDRESS = {New York}, PUBLISHER = {Chapman and Hall}, TITLE = {Density Estimation for Statistics and Data Analysis}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{silverman81, AUTHOR = {Silverman, B.W.}, JOURNAL = {J. Roy. Stat. Soc., Ser. 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Sabatier}, PAGES = {462-467}, PUBLISHER = {Springer-Verlag}, TITLE = {Rigorous Computer Solutions for Infinite-Dimensional Inverse Problems}, YEAR = {1990} } @INCOLLECTION{stark88, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, ADDRESS = {Singapore}, BOOKTITLE = {Some Topics on Inverse Problems}, EDITOR = {P.C. Sabatier}, PAGES = {220-230}, PUBLISHER = {World Scientific}, TITLE = {Strict bounds and applications}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{stark92c, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {14,055-14,082}, TITLE = {Inference in Infinite-Dimensional Inverse Problems: {D}iscretization and Duality}, VOLUME = {97}, YEAR = {1992} } @ARTICLE{stark87a, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, JOURNAL = gjras, PAGES = {987-996}, TITLE = {Rigorous velocity bounds from soft $\tau (p)$ and $X(p)$ data}, VOLUME = {89}, YEAR = {1987} } @ARTICLE{stark92d, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, JOURNAL = {Stat. Probab. Lett.}, PAGES = {39-44}, TITLE = {Affine Minimax Confidence Intervals for a Bounded Normal Mean}, VOLUME = {13}, YEAR = {1992} } @TECHREPORT{stark94, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, INSTITUTION = ucbstat, NUMBER = {417}, TITLE = {Simultaneous confidence intervals for {Backus-Gilbert} estimates of linear functionals}, YEAR = {1994} } @ARTICLE{stark96, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1399-1402}, TITLE = {A few considerations for ascribing statistical significance to earthquake predictions}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @ARTICLE{stark95a, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B.}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {15,399-15,402}, TITLE = {Reply to Comment by {M}orelli and {D}ziewonski}, VOLUME = {100}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{starkNikolayev93, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and D.I. Nikolayev}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {8095-8106}, TITLE = {Toward Tubular Tomography}, VOLUME = {98}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{starkEtal93, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and M.M. Herron and A. Matteson}, JOURNAL = {Appl. Spectr.}, PAGES = {1820-1829}, TITLE = {Empirically Minimax Affine Mineralogy Estimates from {F}ourier-Transform Infrared Spectroscopy Data Using a Decimated Wavelet Basis}, VOLUME = {47}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{starkHengartner93, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and N.W. Hengartner}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {1957-1972}, TITLE = {Reproducing {E}arth's Kernel: {U}ncertainty of the shape of the Core-Mantle Boundary from {PKP} and {PcP} Travel Times}, VOLUME = {98}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{starkParker95, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and R.L. Parker}, JOURNAL = {Comp. Stat.}, PAGES = {129-141}, TITLE = {Bounded-Variable Least-Squares: an Algorithm and Applications}, VOLUME = {10}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{starkParker87a, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and R.L. Parker}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {2713-2719}, TITLE = {Velocity bounds from statistical estimates of $\tau (p)$ and ${X}(p)$}, VOLUME = {92}, YEAR = {1987} } @ARTICLE{starkParker88, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and R.L. Parker}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {13,821-13,822}, TITLE = {Correction to `{V}elocity bounds from Statistical Estimates of $\tau (p)$ and $X(p)$' by {P}hilip {B.} {S}tark and {R}obert {L.} {P}arker}, VOLUME = {93}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{starkParker87b, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and R.L. Parker}, JOURNAL = gjras, PAGES = {997-1010}, TITLE = {Smooth profiles from {$\tau (p)$} and {$X(p)$} data}, VOLUME = {89}, YEAR = {1987} } @ARTICLE{starkEtal86, AUTHOR = {Stark, P.B. and R.L. Parker and G. Masters and J.A. Orcutt}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {13,892-13,902}, TITLE = {Strict bounds on seismic velocity in the spherical {Earth}}, VOLUME = {91}, YEAR = {1986} } @article{stark97, author = {Stark, P.B.}, year = 1997, title = {Earthquake prediction: the null hypothesis}, journal = gji, volume = 131, pages = {495-499} } @incollection{starkTenorio09, author = {Stark, P.B. and L. 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Thompson}, JOURNAL = apj, PAGES = {843-854}, TITLE = {Uncertainties for Two-Dimensional Models of Solar Rotation from Helioseismic Eigenfrequency Splitting}, VOLUME = {443}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{gerverMarkushevich67, AUTHOR = {Gerver, M.L. and V.M. Markushevich}, JOURNAL = gjras, PAGES = {241-246}, TITLE = {On the Characteristic Properties of Travel-Time Curves}, VOLUME = {13}, YEAR = {1967} } @TECHREPORT{getz93, AUTHOR = {Getz, N.}, INSTITUTION = {Electronics Research Laboratory, {U}niversity of {C}alifornia, {B}erkeley}, NUMBER = {UCB/ERL M92/138}, TITLE = {A Fast Discrete Periodic Wavelet Transform}, YEAR = {1992} } @ARTICLE{gilbert71, AUTHOR = {Gilbert, J.F.}, JOURNAL = gjras, PAGES = {119-123}, TITLE = {The diagonal sum rule and averaged eigenfrequencies}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1971} } @TECHREPORT{LSSOL, AUTHOR = {Gill, P.E. and S.V. Hammarling and W. Murray and M.A. Saunders and M.B. 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Creager}, JOURNAL = eos, PAGES = {311}, TITLE = {Chemical Boundary Layers and Large-Scale Flow in the Mantle and Core}, VOLUME = {67}, YEAR = {1986} } @BOOK{journel89, AUTHOR = {Journel, A.G.}, ADDRESS = dc, PAGES = {40}, PUBLISHER = {American Geophysical Union}, SERIES = {Short Course in Geology: Volume 8}, TITLE = {Fundamentals of geostatistics in five lessons}, YEAR = {1989} } @ARTICLE{kagan96b, AUTHOR = {Kagan, Y.Y.}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1315-1318}, TITLE = {{VAN} earthquake predictions---an attempt at statistical evaluation}, VOLUME = {23}, YEAR = {1996} } @ARTICLE{kagan97, AUTHOR = {Kagan, Y.Y.}, JOURNAL = {Tectonophysics}, PAGES = {207-219}, TITLE = {Statistical aspects of {P}arkfield earthquake sequence and {P}arkfield prediction experiment}, VOLUME = {270}, YEAR = {1997} } @ARTICLE{kagan91, AUTHOR = {Kagan, Y.Y.}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {135-148}, TITLE = {Likelihood analysis of earthquake catalogues}, VOLUME = {106}, YEAR = {1991} } @ARTICLE{kaganJackson94, AUTHOR = {Kagan, Y.Y. and D.D. 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Chapman}, JOURNAL = bssa, PAGES = {1271-1302}, TITLE = {The computation of seismic travel times}, VOLUME = {73}, YEAR = {1983} } @BOOK{bullenBolt85, AUTHOR = {Bullen, K.E. and B.A. Bolt}, ADDRESS = {New York}, EDITION = {4th}, PUBLISHER = {Cambridge}, TITLE = {An introduction to the theory of seismology}, YEAR = {1985} } @TECHREPORT{bunnEtal93, AUTHOR = {Bunn, E. and White, M. and Srednicki, M. and Scott, D.}, INSTITUTION = ucbcfpa, NUMBER = {CfPA-93-TH-20}, TITLE = {Are {SP91} and {COBE} Inconsistent with Cold Dark Matter?}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{bussyMontagner93, AUTHOR = {Bussy, M. and Montagner, {J.-P.}}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {663-666}, TITLE = {Tomographic study of upper mantle attenuation in the {P}acific {O}cean}, VOLUME = {20}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{cainEtal65, AUTHOR = {Cain, J.C. and W.E. Daniels and S.J. Hendricks and D.C. Jensen}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {3647-3674}, TITLE = {An evaluation of the main geomagnetic field, 1940-1962}, VOLUME = {70}, YEAR = {1965} } @ARTICLE{chang93, AUTHOR = {Chang, T.}, JOURNAL = {Int. Statis. Rev.}, PAGES = {299-316}, TITLE = {Spherical regression and the statistics of tectonic plate reconstructions}, VOLUME = {61}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{changEtal90, AUTHOR = {Chang, T. and J. Stock and P. Molnar}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {649-661}, TITLE = {The rotation group in plate tectonics and the representation of uncertainties of plate reconstructions}, VOLUME = {101}, YEAR = {1990} } @ARTICLE{chapmanEtal84, AUTHOR = {Chapman, N.R. and I. Barrodale and C.A. Zala}, JOURNAL = {IEEE J. Ocean Eng.}, PAGES = {26-30}, TITLE = {Measurements of sound-speed gradients in deep-ocean sediments using $l_1$ deconvolution techniques}, VOLUME = {OE-9}, YEAR = {1984} } @ARTICLE{chaveThomson89, AUTHOR = {Chave, A.D. and D.J. Thomson}, JOURNAL = jgr, MONTH = oct, NUMBER = {B10}, PAGES = {14,215-14,225}, TITLE = {Some comments on magnetotelluric response function estimation}, VOLUME = {94}, YEAR = {1989} } @ARTICLE{chaveEtal87, AUTHOR = {Chave, A.D. and D.J. Thomson and M.E. Ander}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {633-648}, TITLE = {On the robust estimation of power spectra, coherences, and transfer functions}, VOLUME = {92}, YEAR = {1987} } @ARTICLE{chernoff64, AUTHOR = {Chernoff, H.}, JOURNAL = {Ann. Inst. Stat. Math.}, PAGES = {31-41}, TITLE = {Estimation of the Mode}, VOLUME = {16}, YEAR = {1964} } @TECHREPORT{chiouBolt91, AUTHOR = {Chiou, {S.-J.} and B.A. Bolt}, INSTITUTION = {College of Engineering, Univ. of Calif., Berkeley}, NUMBER = {UCB/EERC-91/07}, TITLE = {Estimation of Seismic Source Processes Using Strong Motion Array Data}, YEAR = {1991} } @ARTICLE{christensendalsgaard82, AUTHOR = {Christensen-{D}alsgaard, J.}, JOURNAL = {Mon. Not. Roy. Astr. Soc.}, PAGES = {735}, VOLUME = {199}, YEAR = {1982} } @ARTICLE{christensen-DEtal85b, AUTHOR = {Christensen-{D}alsgaard, J. and D.O. Gough and J. Toomre}, JOURNAL = {Science}, PAGES = {923-931}, TITLE = {Seismology of the {S}un}, VOLUME = {229}, YEAR = {1985} } @ARTICLE{christensen-DEtal91, AUTHOR = {Christensen-{D}alsgaard, J. and Gough, D.O. and Thompson, M.J.}, JOURNAL = apj, PAGES = {413-437}, TITLE = {The depth of the solar convection zone}, VOLUME = {378}, YEAR = {1991} } @ARTICLE{christensen-DEtal90, AUTHOR = {Christensen-{D}alsgaard, J. and J. Schou and M.J. Thompson}, JOURNAL = {Mon. Not. R. astr. Soc.}, PAGES = {353-369}, TITLE = {A comparison of methods for inverting helioseismic data}, VOLUME = {242}, YEAR = {1990} } @ARTICLE{christensen-DEtal85a, AUTHOR = {Christensen-{D}alsgaard, J. and T.L. Duvall and D.O. Gough and J.W. Harvey and E.J. {Rhodes, Jr.}}, JOURNAL = {Nature}, PAGES = {378-382}, TITLE = {Speed of Sound in the Solar Interior}, VOLUME = {315}, YEAR = {1985} } @BOOK{claerbout85, AUTHOR = {Claerbout, J.F.}, ADDRESS = {Boston}, PUBLISHER = {Blackwell Scientific Publications}, TITLE = {Imaging the {E}arth's interior}, YEAR = {1985} } @ARTICLE{claerboutMuir73, AUTHOR = {Claerbout, J.F. and F. Muir}, JOURNAL = geophys, PAGES = {826-844}, TITLE = {Robust modeling with erratic data}, VOLUME = {38}, YEAR = {1973} } @BOOK{clarke83, AUTHOR = {Clarke, F.H.}, ADDRESS = {New York}, PUBLISHER = {{John Wiley and Sons, Inc.}}, TITLE = {Optimization and Nonsmooth Analysis}, YEAR = {1983} } @ARTICLE{claytonComer83, AUTHOR = {Clayton, R.W. and R.P. Comer}, JOURNAL = eos, PAGES = {776}, TITLE = {A tomographic analysis of mantle heterogeneities from body wave travel time data}, VOLUME = {64}, YEAR = {1983} } @ARTICLE{coatesChapman90, AUTHOR = {Coates, R.T. and C.H. Chapman}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {379-392}, TITLE = {Ray perturbation theory and the {B}orn approximation}, VOLUME = {100}, YEAR = {1990} } @INCOLLECTION{coifmanDonoho95, AUTHOR = {Coifman, R.R. and D.L. Donoho}, ADDRESS = {New York}, BOOKTITLE = {Wavelets and Statistics}, EDITOR = {Antoniadas, A.}, PUBLISHER = {Springer-Verlag}, TITLE = {Translation-Invariant De-Noising}, YEAR = {1995} } @ARTICLE{constableParker91, AUTHOR = {Constable, C. and R. Parker}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {435-468}, TITLE = {Deconvolution of long-core paleomagnetic measurements---spline therapy for the linear problem}, VOLUME = {104}, YEAR = {1991} } @ARTICLE{constable88, AUTHOR = {Constable, C.G.}, JOURNAL = gj, PAGES = {131-142}, TITLE = {Parameter estimation in non-{G}aussian noise}, VOLUME = {94}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{constable90, AUTHOR = {Constable, C.G.}, JOURNAL = jgr, NUMBER = {B4}, PAGES = {4587-4596}, TITLE = {A Simple Statistical Model for Geomagnetic Reversals}, VOLUME = {95}, YEAR = {1990} } @ARTICLE{constableTauxe90, AUTHOR = {Constable, C.G. and L. Tauxe}, JOURNAL = jgr, NUMBER = {B6}, PAGES = {8383-8395}, TITLE = {The Bootstrap for Magnetic Susceptibility Tensors}, VOLUME = {95}, YEAR = {1990} } @ARTICLE{constableParker88, AUTHOR = {Constable, C.G. and R.L. Parker}, JOURNAL = {J. Comput. Phys.}, NUMBER = {2}, PAGES = {493-508}, TITLE = {Smoothing, Splines and Smoothing Splines; Their Application in Geomagnetism}, VOLUME = {78}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{constableParker88b, AUTHOR = {Constable, C.G. and R.L. Parker}, JOURNAL = jgr, NUMBER = {B10}, PAGES = {11,569-11,581}, TITLE = {Statistics of the Geomagnetic Secular variation for the Past 5 m.y.}, VOLUME = {93}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{constableEtal93, AUTHOR = {Constable, C.G. and R.L. Parker and P.B. Stark}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {419-433}, TITLE = {Geomagnetic field models incorporating frozen flux constraints}, VOLUME = {113}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{constableEtal87, AUTHOR = {Constable, S.C. and R.L. Parker and C.G. Constable}, JOURNAL = geophys, PAGES = {289-300}, TITLE = {Occam's inversion: {A} practical algorithm for generating smooth models from electromagnetic sounding data}, VOLUME = {52}, YEAR = {1987} } @ARTICLE{cookeEtal88, AUTHOR = {Cooke, R. and M. Mendel and W. Thijs}, JOURNAL = {Automatica}, PAGES = {87-94}, TITLE = {Calibration and information in expert resolution; a classical approach}, VOLUME = {24}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{copeRust79, AUTHOR = {Cope, J.E. and B.W. Rust}, JOURNAL = {SIAM J. Numer. Anal.}, PAGES = {950-963}, TITLE = {Bounds on solutions of linear systems with inaccurate data}, VOLUME = {16}, YEAR = {1979} } @ARTICLE{cox81, AUTHOR = {Cox, A.}, JOURNAL = pepi, PAGES = {178-190}, TITLE = {A stochastic approach towards understanding the frequency and polarity bias of geomagnetic reversals}, VOLUME = {24}, YEAR = {1981} } @ARTICLE{coxOsullivan90, AUTHOR = {Cox, D.O. and {O'S}ullivan, F.}, JOURNAL = annstat, PAGES = {1676-1695}, TITLE = {Asymptotic analysis of penalized likelihood and related estimators}, VOLUME = {18}, YEAR = {1990} } @BOOK{coxHinkley74, AUTHOR = {Cox, D.R. and D.V. Hinkley}, ADDRESS = {New York}, PUBLISHER = {John Wiley and Sons, Inc.}, TITLE = {Theoretical Statistics}, YEAR = {1974} } @ARTICLE{creagerJordan86a, AUTHOR = {Creager, K.C. and T.H. Jordan}, JOURNAL = eos, PAGES = {311}, TITLE = {Large-Scale Structure of the Outermost Core from ${P}'_{DF}$ and ${P}'_{AB}$ Travel Times}, VOLUME = {67}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{creagerJordan84, AUTHOR = {Creager, K.C. and T.H. Jordan}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {3031-3049}, TITLE = {Slab penetration into the lower mantle}, VOLUME = {89}, YEAR = {1984} } @ARTICLE{creagerJordan86b, AUTHOR = {Creager, K.C. and T.H. Jordan}, JOURNAL = jgr, PAGES = {3573-3589}, TITLE = {Slab penetration into the lower mantle beneath the {M}ariana and other island arcs of the northwest {P}acific}, VOLUME = {91}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{creagerJordan86c, AUTHOR = {Creager, K.C. and T.H. Jordan}, JOURNAL = grl, PAGES = {1497-1500}, TITLE = {Aspherical structure of the core-mantle boundary from {PKP} travel times}, VOLUME = {13}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{crispiEtal91, AUTHOR = {Crispi, G. and Jacovitti, G. and Neri, A. and Scarano, G.}, JOURNAL = {Boll. Geofis. Teor. Appl.}, PAGES = {3-15}, TITLE = {Improved minimum entropy deconvolution}, YEAR = {1991}, vlume = "33" } @PHDTHESIS{cuer84, AUTHOR = {Cuer, M.}, SCHOOL = {{Acad\'{e}mie de Montpellier, Universit\'{e} des Sciences et Techniques du Languedoc}}, TITLE = {Des Questions bien posees dans des Problemes Inverses de Gravimetrie et Geomagnetisme: une Nouvelle Application de la Programmation Lineare}, YEAR = {1984} } @ARTICLE{cuer89, AUTHOR = {Cuer, M.}, JOURNAL = {Manuscript}, TITLE = {Discretisation en $O(h^p)$, $p>2$ de problemes de programmation lineare dans $L^\infty (0,1)$}, YEAR = {1989} } @INCOLLECTION{dappenEtal91, AUTHOR = {D\"{a}ppen, W. and Gough, D.O. and Kosovichev, A.G. and Thompson, M.J.}, ADDRESS = {New York}, BOOKTITLE = {Challenges to theories of the structure of moderate-mass stars}, EDITOR = {Gough, D. and Toomre, J.}, PAGES = {111-120}, PUBLISHER = {Springer-Verlag}, TITLE = {A new inversion for the hydrostatic stratification of the {S}un}, YEAR = {1991} } @ARTICLE{dahlen93, AUTHOR = {Dahlen, F. 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Eq., Birmingham, Alabama}, TITLE = {Discrete Sets of Coherent States and Their Use in Signal Analysis}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{daubechies86b, AUTHOR = {Daubechies, I. and A. Grossman and Y. Meyer}, JOURNAL = {J. Math. Phys.}, PAGES = {1271-1283}, TITLE = {Painless nonorthogonal expansions}, VOLUME = {27}, YEAR = {1986} } @INPROCEEDINGS{daubechiesPaul86, AUTHOR = {Daubechies, I. and T. Paul}, BOOKTITLE = {Proc. Intl. Conf. Math. Phys., Marseilles}, TITLE = {Wavelets and Applications}, YEAR = {1986} } @ARTICLE{daviesEtal92, AUTHOR = {Davies, J.H. and O. Gudmundsson and R. W. Clayton}, JOURNAL = gji, PAGES = {865-882}, TITLE = {Spectra of mantle shear wave velocity structure}, VOLUME = {108}, YEAR = {1992} } @ARTICLE{davisFrohlich91, AUTHOR = {Davis, S.D. and C. 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Fienberg}, INSTITUTION = {Department of Statistics, Carnegie-Mellon University}, NUMBER = {244}, TITLE = {The comparison and evaluation of forecasters}, YEAR = {1982} } @ARTICLE{degrootEtal90, AUTHOR = {de{G}root-{H}edlin, C. and S. Constable}, JOURNAL = geophys, PAGES = {1613-1624}, TITLE = {Occam's inversion to generate smooth, two-dimensional models from magnetotelluric data}, VOLUME = {55}, YEAR = {1990} } @ARTICLE{djamdjiEtal93, AUTHOR = {Djamdji, {J.-P.} and A. Bijaoui and R. Maniere}, JOURNAL = {Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing}, PAGES = {645-653}, TITLE = {Geometrical Registration of Images: The Multiresolution Approach}, VOLUME = {59}, YEAR = {1993} } @ARTICLE{donoho81a, AUTHOR = {Donoho, D.L.}, JOURNAL = {Appl. Time Ser. Anal.}, PAGES = {565-608}, TITLE = {On minimum entropy deconvolution}, VOLUME = {2}, YEAR = {1981} } @ARTICLE{donoho81b, AUTHOR = {Donoho, D.L.}, JOURNAL = {SIAM J. Math. Anal.}, TITLE = {Super-resolution via Sparsity Constraints}, VOLUME = {submitted}, YEAR = {1991} } @ARTICLE{donoho88, AUTHOR = {Donoho, D.L.}, JOURNAL = annstat, PAGES = {1390-1420}, TITLE = {One-Sided Inference about Functionals of a Density}, VOLUME = {16}, YEAR = {1988} } @ARTICLE{donoho94a, AUTHOR = {Donoho, D.L.}, JOURNAL = annstat, PAGES = {238-270}, TITLE = {Statistical Estimation and Optimal Recovery}, VOLUME = {22}, YEAR = {1994} } @TECHREPORT{donoho84, AUTHOR = {Donoho, D.L.}, INSTITUTION = ucbstat, TITLE = {Nonparametric Inference about Functionals of a Density, {I.}}, YEAR = {1984} } @ARTICLE{donoho94b, AUTHOR = {Donoho, D.L.}, JOURNAL = {Probab. Theory and Rel. 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Speed} } @article{eatonFreedman04, year = 2004, author = {Eaton, M.L. and D.A. Freedman}, title = {Dutch book against some objective priors}, journal = {Bernoulli}, volume = {10}, pages = {861-872} } @article{elmegreenEtal02, title = {Dusty Acoustic Turbulence in {NGC} 4450 and {NGC} 4736}, author = {Elmegreen, D.M. and B.G. Elmegreen and K.S. Eberwein}, journal = apj, volume = 564, pages = {234-243}, year = 2002 } @article{elmegreenEtal01, title = {A Fractal Analysis of the {H I} Emission from the {L}arge {M}agellanic {C}loud}, author = {Elmegreen, B.G. and S. Kim and Lister Staveley-Smith}, year = 2001, volume = 548, pages = {749-769}, journal = apj } @article{gilbertSlepian77, author = {Gilbert, E.N. and D. Slepian}, year = 1977, title = {Doubly orthogonal concentrated polynomials}, journal = {SIAM J. Appl. Math.}, volume = 8, pages = {290-319} } @article{landauPollak61, author = {Landau, H.J. and H.O. 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Sonnenblick}, year = {1965}, title = {Eigenvalues associated with prolate spheroidal wave functions of zero order}, journal = bstj, volume = 44, pages = {1745-1759} } @techreport{buckheitEtal95, author = {Buckheit, J. and S. Chen and D. Donoho and I. Johnstone and J. Scargle}, title = {{WaveLab}}, year = 1995, url = {http://www-stat.stanford.edu/~wavelab/}, institution = {Stanford University} } @mastersthesis{hansen01, author = {Hansen, Bendek B.}, title = {Minimax expected length confidence intervals}, school = {University of California, Berkeley}, year = 2001 } @inproceedings{schaferStark04, author = {Schafer, C.M. and P.B. Stark}, year = 2004, title = {Using what we know: inference with physical constraints}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Conference on Statistical Problems in Particle Physics, Astrophysics and Cosmology {PHYSTAT2003}}, editor = {Lyons, L. and R. Mount and R. Reitmeyer}, publisher = {Stanford Linear Accelerator Center}, address = {Menlo Park, CA}, pages = {25--34} } @phdthesis{schafer04, author = {Schafer, Chad M.}, school = {University of California, Berkeley}, year = 2004, title = {Constructing Confidence Regions of Optimal Expected Size: Theory and Application to Cosmic Microwave Inference} } @article{shiLiuZhang01, author = {Shi, Y. and Liu, J. and Zhang, G.}, title = {An evaluation of {C}hinese annual earthquake predictions, 1990--1998}, year = 2001, journal = {J. Appl. Probab.}, volume = {38A}, pages = {222-231} } @article{keilis-borokEtal80, author = {Keilis-Borok, V.I. and L. Knopoff and I.M. 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Williams and T.R. Madden} } @ARTICLE{wangEtal75, author = {{Wang}, C.~Y. and {Goodman}, R.~E. and {Sundaram}, P.~N. and {Morrison}, H.~F.}, title = "{Electrical resistivity of granite in frictional sliding: Application to earthquake prediction}", journal = grl, year = 1975, volume = 2, pages = {525-528}, adsurl = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?bibcode=1975GeoRL...2..525W&db_key=PHY}, adsnote = {Provided by the Smithsonian/NASA Astrophysics Data System} } @article{molchanKagan92, author = {{Molchan}, G.~M. and {Kagan}, Y.~Y.}, title = "{Earthquake prediction and its optimization}", journal = jgr, year = 1992, month = apr, volume = 97, pages = {4823-4838}, adsurl = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?bibcode=1992JGR....97.4823M&db_key=PHY}, adsnote = {Provided by the Smithsonian/NASA Astrophysics Data System} } @inbook{molchan03, author={Molchan, George M.}, title={Earthquake prediction strategies: A theoretical analysis}, booktitle={Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction}, chapter={5}, year={2003}, pages={208-237}, publisher = {Springer}, address={Heidelberg} } @book{pyle99, author = {Pyle, D.}, year = 1999, title = {Data Preparation for Data Mining}, publisher = {Morgan Kaufman Publishers}, address = {San Francisco}, pages = 540 } @book{hastieEtal01, author = {Hastie, T. and Tibshirani, R. and Friedman, J.}, year = 2001, title = {The Elements of Statistical Learning--Data Mining, Inference and Prediction}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, address = {New York}, pages = 533 } @book{breimanEtal84, author = {Breiman, L. and Friedman, J. and Olshen, R. and Stone, C.}, year = 1984, title = {Classification and Regression Trees}, publisher = {Chapman \& Hall/CRC}, address = {Boca Raton}, pages = 358 } @book{berryLinoff00, author = {Berry, M.J.A. and Linoff, G.S.}, year = 2000, title = {Mastering Data Mining}, publisher = {John Wiley and Sons}, address = {New York}, pages = 494 } @book{rud01, author = {Rud, O.P.}, year = 2001, title = {Data Mining Cookbook}, publisher = {John Wiley and Sons}, address = {New York}, pages = 367 } @article{diGiovambattistaTyupkin00, author = {Di Giovambattista, R. and Yu S. Tyupkin}, title = {Spatial and temporal distribution of seismicity before the {Umbria-Marche} {September} 26, 1997 earthquakes}, journal = {Journal of Seismology}, volume = 4, pages = {589-598}, year = 2000 } @article{stothers04, author = {Stothers, R.B.}, year = 2004, title = {Earthquake prediction in antiquity}, journal = {Acient Hist. Bull.}, volume = 18, pages = {101-108} } @book{bertoin96, author = {Bertoin, J.}, title = {L\'evy Processes}, year = {1996}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, address = {Cambridge, UK} } @book{casellaBerger02, author = {Casella, G. and Berger, R. L.}, title = {Statistical Inference}, year = {2002}, edition = {Second}, publisher = {Duxbury Press}, address = {Pacific Grove, CA} } @article{dattaEtal00, author = {Datta, G.S. and Mukerjee, R. and Reid, N. and Malay, G.}, title = {Bayesian Prediction with Approximate Frequentist Validity}, journal = {Annals of Statistics}, pages = {1414--1426}, year = {2000}, volume = {28} } @article{freedman99, author = {Freedman, D.A.}, title = {On the {B}ernstein von {M}ises theorem with infinite-dimensional parameters}, journal = {Annals of Statistics}, pages = {1119--1140}, year = {1999}, volume = {27} } @book{gelmanEtal03, author = {Gelman, A. and Carlin, J. B. and Stern, H.S. and Rubin, D. B.}, title = {Bayesian Data Analysis}, year = {2003}, publisher = {CRC Press}, address = {New York}, edition = {Second} } @book{gilksEtal96, editor = {Gilks,W. R. and Richardson,S. and Spiegelhalter,D. J.}, title = {Markov Chain {M}onte {C}arlo in Practice}, year = {1996}, publisher = {Chapman \& Hall}, address = {London} } @article{lassasSiltanen04, author = {Lassas, M. and Siltanen, S.}, title = {Can one use total variation for edge-preserving {B}ayesian inversion}, journal = {Inverse Problems}, pages = {1537--1563}, year = {2004}, volume = {20} } @article{levineCasella03, author = {Levine, R.A. and Casella, G.}, title = {Implementing matching priors for frequentist inference}, journal = {Biometrika}, pages = {127--137}, year = {2003}, volume = {90} } @article{lindleySmith72, author = {Lindley,D. V. and Smith,A. F. M.}, title = {Bayes Estimates for the Linear Model}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, B}, pages = {1--18}, year = {1972}, volume = {1} } @article{malayKim01, author = {Malay, G. and Kim, Y.}, title = {The {B}ehrens-{F}isher Problem Revisited: A {B}ayes-Frequentist Synthesis}, journal = {The Canadian Journal of Statistics}, pages = {5--17}, year = {2001}, volume = {29} } @article{mukerjeeReid99, author = {Mukerjee, R. and Reid, N.}, title = {On a Property of Probability Matching Priors: Matching the Alternative Coverage Probabilities}, journal = {Biometrika}, pages = {333--340}, year = {1999}, volume = {86} } @book{rice95, author = {Rice, J. A.}, title = {Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis}, year = {1995}, publisher = {Duxbury Press}, edition = {Second}, adress = {Belomont, California} } @InCollection{woycz01, author = {Woyczy\'nski, W. A.}, title = {L\'evy processes in the physical sciences}, booktitle = {L\'evy Processes: Theory and Applications}, pages = {241--266}, publisher = {Birk\'auser}, year = {2001}, editor = {Barndoff-{N}ielsen, O. E. and Mikosch, T. and Resnick, S.} } @article{zhangWoodroofe03, author = {Zhang, T. and Woodroofe, M.}, title = {Credible and confidence sets for restricted parameter spaces}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference}, pages = {479--490}, year = {2003}, volume = {115} } A Modification of the Sequential Probability Ratio Test to Reduce the Sample Size T. W. Anderson The Annals of Mathematical Statistics Vol. 31, No. 1 (Mar., 1960), pp. 165-197 Published by: Institute of Mathematical Statistics Article Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2237502 M. Bartroff, J. Finkelman and T. L. Lai. Modern sequential analysis and its applications to computerized adaptive testing. Psychometrika, 73:473-486, 2008. Angers, C., 1984. 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Technical Report No. 93-5, Department of Statistics, University of Connecticut, Storrs. Sison, C.P., Glaz, J., 1995a. Simultaneous confidence intervals and sample size determination for multinomial proportions. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 90, 366-369. Sison, C.P., Glaz, J., 1995b. Confidence intervals for the maximum and minimum multinomial cell proportions. Technical Report No. 95-15, Department of Statistics, University of Connecticut, Storrs. Thompson, S.K., 1987. Sample size for estimating multinomial proportions. Amer. Statist. 41, 42-46. Tortora, R.D., 1978. A note on sample size estimation for multinomial populations. Amer. Statist. 32, 100-102. @article{doksum74, title = {Empirical Probability Plots and Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Models in the Two-Sample Case}, author = {Doksum, Kjell}, journal = annstat, volume = {2}, number = {2}, jstor_formatteddate = {Mar., 1974}, pages = {267--277}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2958036}, ISSN = {00905364}, abstract = {Let X and Y be two random variables with continuous distribution functions F and G and means ? and ?. In a linear model, the crucial property of the contrast ? = ? - ? is that X + ? =L Y, where = L denotes equality in law. When the linear model does not hold, there is no real number ? such that X + ? = L Y. However, it is shown that if parameters are allowed to be function valued, there is essentially only one function $\Delta(\bullet)$ such that X + ?(X) = L Y, and this function can be defined by ?(x) = G-1(F(x)) - x. The estimate ?N(x) = Gn -1(Fm(x)) - x of ?(x) is considered, where Gn and Fm are the empirical distribution functions. Confidence bands based on this estimate are given and the asymptotic distribution of $\hat{\Delta}_N(\bullet)$ is derived. For general models in analysis of variance, contrasts that can be expressed as sums of differences of means can be replaced by sums of functions of the above kind.}, publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, copyright = {Copyright 1974 Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, year = {1974}, } @article{neymanEtal90, title = {On the Application of Probability Theory to Agricultural Experiments. Essay on Principles. Section 9.}, author = {Splawa-Neyman, Jerzy and Dabrowska, D. M. and Speed, T. P.}, journal = {Statistical Science}, volume = {5}, number = {4}, jstor_formatteddate = {Nov., 1990}, pages = {465--472}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2245382}, ISSN = {08834237}, abstract = {In the portion of the paper translated here, Neyman introduces a model for the analysis of field experiments conducted for the purpose of comparing a number of crop varieties, which makes use of a double-indexed array of unknown potential yields, one index corresponding to varieties and the other to plots. The yield corresponding to only one variety will be observed on any given plot, but through an urn model embodying sampling without replacement from this doubly indexed array, Neyman obtains a formula for the variance of the difference between the averages of the observed yields of two varieties. This variance involves the variance over all plots of the potential yields and the correlation coefficient r between the potential yields of the two varieties on the same plot. Since it is impossible to estimate r directly, Neyman advises taking r = 1, observing that in practice this may lead to using too large an estimated standard deviation, when comparing two variety means.}, publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, language = {}, copyright = {Copyright 1990 Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, year = {1990}, } @article{kaplan87, title = {A Method of One-Sided Nonparametric Inference for the Mean of a Nonnegative Population}, author = {Kaplan, H.M.}, journal = {The American Statistician}, volume = {41}, year = 1987, pages = {157-158} } @article{steck69, title = {The {S}mirnov Two Sample Tests as Rank Tests}, author = {Steck, G.P.}, journal = {Ann. Math. Statist.}, Volume = 40, year = 1969, pages = {1449-1466} } @article{serfling74, title = {Probability Inequalities for the Sum in Sampling without Replacement}, author = {Serfling, R.J.}, journal = annstat, volume = 2, year = 1974, pages = {39-48} } @article{chernoff52, author = {Chernoff, H.}, title = {A measure of asymptotic efficiency for tests of a hypothesis based on the sum of observations}, journal = {Ann. Math. Stat.}, volume = 23, pages = {493-507}, year = 1952 } @article{massart00, jstor_articletype = {primary_article}, title = {About the Constants in Talagrand's Concentration Inequalities for Empirical Processes}, author = {Massart, Pascal}, journal = {The Annals of Probability}, jstor_issuetitle = {}, volume = {28}, number = {2}, jstor_formatteddate = {Apr., 2000}, pages = {863--884}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2652950}, ISSN = {00911798}, abstract = {We propose some explicit values for the constants involved in the exponential concentration inequalities for empirical processes which are due to Talagrand. It has been shown by Ledoux that deviation inequalities for empirical processes could be obtained by iteration of logarithmic Sobolev type inequalities. Our approach follows closely that of Ledoux. The improvements that we get with respect to Ledoux's work are based on refinements of his entropy inequalities and computations.}, publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics}, year = {2000} } @article{neterEtal85, jstor_articletype = {primary_article}, title = {Characteristics of Dollar-Unit Taints and Error Rates in Accounts Receivable and Inventory}, author = {Neter, John and Johnson, Johnny R. and Leitch, Robert A.}, journal = {The Accounting Review}, volume = {60}, number = {3}, jstor_formatteddate = {Jul., 1985}, pages = {488--499}, url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/246570}, ISSN = {00014826}, abstract = {This note extends the analysis of line-item error taints and error rates originally presented in Johnson, Leitch and Neter [1981] by first considering the distribution of dollar-unit taints, the relevant distribution when simple random sampling is applied to monetary units. Next, empirical evidence on the relation between the taint amount and book amount is presented. Finally, empirical findings on the magnitudes of dollar-unit error rates are provided.}, publisher = {American Accounting Association}, year = {1985}, } @article{felixEtal90, author = {Felix, W.L. and R.A. Grimlund and F.J. Koster and R.S. Roussey}, year = 1990, title = {{A}rthur {A}ndersenÕs new monetary unit sampling approach}, journal = {Auditing: A Journal of Practice \& Theory}, volume = 9, pages = {1-16} } @article{cornell68, author={C. Allin Cornell}, title={Engineering seismic risk analysis}, journal=bssa, year={1968}, volume={58}, number={5}, pages={1583-1606} } @inbook{utsu02, author={Tokuji Utsu}, title={Statistical features of seismicity}, booktitle={International handbook of earthquake \& engineering seismology}, chapter={43}, year={2002}, pages={719-732}, publisher = {Academic Press}, address={New York}, note = {renewal models} } @article{utsu84, author={Utsu, Tokuji}, title={Estimation of parameters for recurrence models of earthquakes}, journal={Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst. Univ. Tokyo}, year={1984}, volume={59}, number={1}, pages={53-56} } @article{ogata98, author={Yosihiko Ogata}, title={Space-time point process models for earthquake occurrences}, journal={Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics}, year={1998}, volume={50}, number={2}, pages={379-402}, note = {ETAS} } @article{ashLamperti08, author = {Ash, A. and J. 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