Draft Lectures on Probability in the Real World

Here is the current (April 15, 2015) draft version of On Chance and Unpredictability: lectures on the links between mathematical probability and the real world. This consists of 10 - 20 page write-ups of 9 of the lectures from the 2014 course where I think I have something to say that isn't available elsewhere, together with 1-page descriptions of 7 other lectures where I don't.

This page gives more info on what I actually did in the course.