STATISTICS 205B tentative schedule Spring 2009

WeekstarttopicsDurrett
1Jan 19Measure-theory background to Markov chains. Examples and elementary properties 5.1, 5.2
2Jan 26 Markov chains: . Strong Markov property. Classification of states; recurrence and transience. 5.2, 5.3
3 Feb 2 Existence and convergence results for invariant measures.5.2, 5.3
4 Feb 9 Coupling. a.s. ergodic theorem; mixing times and coupling.5.4
5Feb 16 Markov chains and martingales; iterated function systems. .
6 Feb 23 Martingales. (review 205A material on convergence theorems.). Levy 0-1 law. Randon-Nikodym theorem. Conditional Borel-Cantelli. Kakutani dichotomy. Galton-Watson processes. 4.3
7 Mar 2 Maximal inequalities. Boundary crossing inequalities. General forms of optional sampling theorem. Azuma's inequality. 4.7
8 Mar 9 IID large deviation theorem. Entropy. Statement of Sanov's Theorem. 1.9
9Mar 16 Ergodic theorem; applications to RW 6.1, 6.2, 6.3
10Mar 30 Entropy; subadditive ergodic theorem and applications. 6.5, 6.6
11 Apr 6 Brownian motion: definition, existence, continuity and non-differentiability of paths; associated martingales. Chap. 7
12 Apr 13 Calculations via martungales; calculations via reflection principle; maxima and hitting times, last zero before 1 and first zero after 1; Brownian bridge. 7.5, 7.4, 7.3
13 Apr 20 Law of iterated logarithm. Skorokhod embedding. Donsker's invariance principle. 7.6
14 Apr 27Applications of Donsker's invariance principle. Martingale case. 7.7
15May 4Empirical distributions and Brownian bridge. Local time at zero. 7.8

Homework assignments

Here are the Homework assignments as a PDF document. Note that week n homework is intended to cover material done in class during week n, and is due (in class) on the Thursday of week n+1. Currently there are 10 homework assignments covering weeks 2 - 13; one more will be added (done but see below).

Last homework assignment. There's some bizarre problem with the PDF not appearing, so here it is

205B Homework, due Thursday May 7

Durrett Chapter 7 problems 5.4, 6.1, 6.3, 7.1