Department of Statistics
University of California
Berkeley, California
Spring Semester, 2008

Statistics 251
Stochastic Analysis with Applications to Mathematical Finance
Units: 3

Instructor: Steven N. Evans

Mon Wed 5:00-6:30, 334 EVANS
Office Hours: 329 Evans by appointment
email: evans@stat.berkeley.edu

Course Outline

The course will be an introduction to the basic concepts of stochastic calculus, particularly those that are most relevant in mathematical finance and ``financial engineering''. The probability theory to be covered will include: Brownian motion and continuous parameter martingales, quadratic variations, stochastic integration, Ito's formula, representation of martingales, Girsanov's theorem, stochastic differential equations, and diffusion processes.

The mathematical development will be motivated and accompanied by examples from the Black-Scholes-Merton theory of pricing and hedging contingent claims, including the following finance topics: European options, foreign market derivatives (e.g. currency forwards, options and quantos), American options, exotic options, and interest rate related contracts (e.g. Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, Heath-Jarrow-Morton, Brace-Gatarek-Musiela models).

Prerequisites

Exposure to probability theory equivalent to Stat 204 or 205A. Students should be comfortable with the "gestalt" of the measure-theoretic approach to probability, conditional expectation, discrete-time martingales, and elementary properties of Brownian motion.  The first two chapters of the text are a good refresher.  No prior knowledge of finance will be assumed.

Text

 Lecture slides in PDF  - don't print these off all at once, as I will probably revise them as we go along

Recommended Reading

Stochastic calculus reading:

Elementary finance reading:
Advanced finance reading:

Grading

Final project

Syllabus

Week 1+2: Brownian motion, continuous time martingales, quadratic variation, construction of the stochastic integral.

Week 3+4: Ito's lemma, stochastic differential equations, strong solutions, stochastic flows, Markov properties, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

Week 5+6: stochastic integral representations of martingales, Girsanov's formula and change of measure, Levy's characterization of Brownian motion.

Week 7: the Black-Scholes model, self-financing strategies, hedging and pricing.

Week 8: infinitesimal generator of a diffusion, the Feynman-Kac formula, connections between diffusions and partial differential equations, applications to pricing of various contingent claims.

Week 9: interest rate models.

Week 10: local time, Tanaka's formula, Trotter's theorem, Skorohod's equation, Levy's equivalence.

Week 11: excursion theory, Poisson point processes, Ito's decomposition.

Week 12+13: one-dimensional diffusions, transformation by scale and speed, classification of boundaries.